Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 13

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Denoek (Hoek)


	HSV Hoek		Amsterdamsche FC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.45	3.35
	1.84	3.8	3.6
	2.26	3.38	2.96	Watch
	1.92	3.42	3.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.26)	3.51 ↑ (3.38)	3.35 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSV Hoek
46.4%

Draw
26.2%

Amsterdamsche FC
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.5%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSV Hoek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HSV Hoek's performance.

Amsterdamsche FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

HSV Hoek - Amsterdamsche FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Murre F. (G) 2. de Poorter R. 21. Martens G. (C) 25. den Engelsman W. 5. de Nooijer Y. 18. Bouihrouchane H. 14. Van Hauter R. 4. Lion J. 13. Hebbelinck K. 17. Sula D. 11. Delannoy G.	1. van Zetten G. (G) 27. Lee I. 23. van Rhijn R. 2. Lucke B. 15. van Weerdenburg G. (C) 22. Shenkman N. 6. Benninga N. 19. el Ibrahimi K. 14. Klopper M. 29. Fonseca R. 28. Gouda D.
Substitutes
10. Aelterman N. 8. Lijbers T. 19. Ngongo J. 30. Standaert M. (G) 16. Steenpoorte M. 6. Vandecandelaere G. 15. van Gogh R.	4. Ederveen S. 24. Eliasar M. 8. Hoek M. 33. Hovenkamp T. 3. Markiet G. 21. Nolet D. (G) 10. van der Greft J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Martens G. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Lion J. ⚽, de Nooijer Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', Lucke B. 🟨,
58', Bouihrouchane H. ↓, Steenpoorte M. ↑,
58', Delannoy G. ↓, Aelterman N. ↑,
64', el Ibrahimi K. ↓, Eliasar M. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Sula D. ⚽, Steenpoorte M. (A),
72', Lucke B. ↓, Hovenkamp T. ↑,
72', Klopper M. ↓, Markiet G. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Hovenkamp T. ⚽, Fonseca R. (A),
78', Lee I. ↓, Ederveen S. ↑,
78', Benninga N. ↓, van der Greft J. ↑,
80', Hebbelinck K. ↓, Ngongo J. ↑,
80', Lion J. ↓, Lijbers T. ↑,
90', Sula D. ↓, Vandecandelaere G. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Eliasar M. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 and 10).

Hoek is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

AFC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

AFC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hoek will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSV Hoek
Dutch Tweede Divisie
08.11.25	Kozakken Boys - HSV Hoek	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	HSV Hoek - ACV	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	HSV Hoek - FC Eindhoven	3:2 ET ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
25.10.25	HSV Hoek - IJsselmeervogels	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Quick Boys - HSV Hoek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWL
- Amsterdamsche FC
Dutch Tweede Divisie
08.11.25	Amsterdamsche FC - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	1:4 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Eemdijk - Amsterdamsche FC	1:2 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
25.10.25	Spakenburg - Amsterdamsche FC	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Amsterdamsche FC - Koninklijke HFC	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Katwijk - Amsterdamsche FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW

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