Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Amurrio		Basconia

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.87	2.15
	3.5	3.15	1.83
	3.2	2.9	2.12
	3.21	2.9	2.2
	3.16	3.14	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.47)	2.99 ↑ (2.98)	2.1 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amurrio
27.5%

Draw
29.9%

Basconia
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

30.1%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

23.1%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amurrio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amurrio than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amurrio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basconia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Amurrio - Basconia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Amurrio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Basconia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Basconia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Amurrio won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Amurrio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amurrio Club
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.02.22	Beti Gazte - Amurrio	0:1 ✺
16.02.22	Amurrio - Portugalete	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Amurrio	2:2 ✺
05.02.22	Amurrio - Alavés B	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Beasain - Amurrio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTTTL
- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.02.22	Basconia - Pasaia	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Uritarra - Basconia	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Basconia - San Ignacio	3:1 ✺
06.02.22	Tolosa - Basconia	1:2 ✺
30.01.22	Basconia - Leioa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
24.10.21	Basconia - Amurrio	1:1
17.03.19	Amurrio - Basconia	0:1
28.10.18	Basconia - Amurrio	2:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
22.12.17	Basconia - Amurrio	0:0

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