Match Info

Date: 16 February 2022, Wednesday


	Amurrio		Portugalete

	1	X	2
	4.8	3	1.71
	4.3	2.9	1.75
	4.6	3	1.73
	4.92	3.07	1.71
	4.8	3.02	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (4.48)	3 ↑ (2.92)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amurrio
19%

Draw
29.7%

Portugalete
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

29.7%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

23.6%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amurrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amurrio than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portugalete could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Amurrio - Portugalete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Amurrio is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Portugalete is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Portugalete could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Portugalete is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amurrio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Amurrio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amurrio Club
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.02.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Amurrio	2:2 ✺
05.02.22	Amurrio - Alavés B	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Beasain - Amurrio	2:0 ✺
22.01.22	Amurrio - Santutxu	1:2 ✺
19.01.22	Deusto - Amurrio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLLT
- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.02.22	Portugalete - Pasaia	3:1 ✺
05.02.22	Uritarra - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
02.02.22	Urduliz - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
29.01.22	Portugalete - San Ignacio	3:0 ✺
22.01.22	Tolosa - Portugalete	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.10.21	Portugalete - Amurrio	1:0
10.02.19	Portugalete - Amurrio	1:0
23.09.18	Amurrio - Portugalete	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
14.01.18	Amurrio - Portugalete	1:2
03.09.17	Portugalete - Amurrio	0:0

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