Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday


	Tolosa		Basconia

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.2	1.71
	4.35	2.88	1.74
	4.8	3	1.7
	4.67	2.99	1.78
	5.65	3.3	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↓ (5.41)	3.07 ↓ (3.19)	1.71 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolosa
18.7%

Draw
29.1%

Basconia
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

27.5%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

21.8%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolosa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tolosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basconia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tolosa - Basconia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Tolosa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Basconia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Basconia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Basconia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tolosa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tolosa FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
30.01.22	Beti Gazte - Tolosa	2:2 ✺
22.01.22	Tolosa - Portugalete	0:3 ✺
19.01.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Tolosa	3:0 ✺
15.01.22	Tolosa - Alavés B	0:3 ✺
09.01.22	Beasain - Tolosa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLL
- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
30.01.22	Basconia - Leioa	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Urduliz - Basconia	0:1 ✺
19.01.22	Basconia - Anaitasuna	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Durango - Basconia	0:1 ✺
09.01.22	Basconia - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.10.21	Basconia - Tolosa	2:2

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