Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 16

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	América MG U20		Santos U20

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.10	2.30
	2.40	3.30	2.48
	3.12	3.47	2.23
	2.81	3.23	2.37	Watch
	2.90	3.00	2.20
	3.10	3.36	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.35)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	2.29 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América MG U20
32.1%

Draw
28.1%

Santos U20
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

26.9%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.9%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América MG U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América MG U20's form might have worsened.

Santos U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América MG U20 than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América MG U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

América MG U20 - Santos U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 3, Otavio ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG U20 won 2.

América MG U20 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Santos U20 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

América MG U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, América MG U20 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, América MG U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América MG U20
Brasileiro U20
10.06.26	Vitória U20 - América MG U20	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Mineiro U20
06.06.26	América MG U20 - Internacional de Minas U20	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Betim U20 - América MG U20	1:6 ✺
Brasileiro U20
27.05.26	América MG U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Mineiro U20
24.05.26	América MG U20 - Itabirito U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWTW
- Santos U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.06.26	Santos U20 - Jabaquara U20	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
11.06.26	Palmeiras U20 - Santos U20	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
30.05.26	Sertãozinho U20 - Santos U20	0:3 ✺
Brasileiro U20
27.05.26	Santos U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Santos U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
01.07.25	América MG U20 - Santos U20	0:1
15.05.24	América MG U20 - Santos U20	2:0
Brazilian Copinha
22.01.23	América MG U20 - Santos U20	3:0
21.01.22	Santos U20 - América MG U20	3:0
Brasileiro U20
29.08.21	Santos U20 - América MG U20	1:1
04.10.20	Santos U20 - América MG U20	3:1
02.07.19	Santos U20 - América MG U20	2:2

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