Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 8

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday


	América RN		Brusque

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.95	3.75
	1.9	2.9	4.25
	2.15	2.99	3.88
	1.95	2.9	3.7
	1.98	3.18	3.74	Watch
	2	3.1	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.46)	3 ↑ (2.8)	3.83 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América RN
45.9%

Draw
30.3%

Brusque
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

32%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

34.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América RN's performance.

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brusque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América RN that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brusque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

América RN - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. América RN will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Brusque will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bruno (G) 35. Gilvan 32. Guedes 3. Jean Pierre (C) 38. Leo Rafael 27. Luan Sales 6. Luiz Paulo 11. Rafinha 13. Renan Gorne 16. Rodriguinho 20. Tessio	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 6. Airton 91. Diego Tavares 2. Everton Alemao 99. Everton Bala 17. Guilherme Queiroz 30. Luiz Henrique 33. Madison 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 20. Toty 4. Wallace (C)
Substitutes
7. Allef 23. Buiu 30. Carlao (G) 10. Elvinho 14. Everton Sena 33. Ferreira de Amorim A. 37. Gabriel Silva 26. Kaio 19. Paulinho 31. Rael 9. Wallace Pernambucano	66. Alex Ruan 7. Cleo Silva 21. Danilo Belao 3. Ianson 22. Iran 8. Jhemerson 11. Lucas Poletto 9. Olavio 47. Ruan Carneiro (G)

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently América RN have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América RN
Brazilian Serie C
08.06.23	Remo - América RN	0:0 ✺
02.06.23	América RN - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
27.05.23	Náutico Capibaribe - América RN	0:0 ✺
21.05.23	Volta Redonda - América RN	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
17.05.23	ABC - América RN	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWTLT
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
08.06.23	Aparecidense - Brusque	0:2 ✺
03.06.23	Brusque - Remo	1:1 ✺
27.05.23	Brusque - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:1 ✺
20.05.23	CS Alagoano - Brusque	0:0 ✺
14.05.23	Brusque - Volta Redonda	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLTW

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