Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 24

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito) 🌤️ ...


	América de Quito		Búhos ULVR

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3	3.9
	1.96	3.13	4.01
	1.95	3.3	3.7	Watch
	2	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.25)	3.15 ↓ (3.4)	3.72 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Quito
46.5%

Draw
29%

Búhos ULVR
24.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

26.3%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América de Quito's performance.

Búhos ULVR has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Búhos ULVR might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Búhos ULVR than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Búhos ULVR could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

América de Quito - Búhos ULVR Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. América de Quito will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Búhos ULVR will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América de Quito: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches América de Quito won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Búhos ULVR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

América de Quito will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches América de Quito won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams América de Quito won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
01.08.23	Manta - América de Quito	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	América de Quito - Imbabura	1:2 ✺
20.07.23	Vinotinto - América de Quito	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	América de Quito - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
07.07.23	Chacaritas - América de Quito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLLTT
- Búhos ULVR
Ecuadorian Serie B
02.08.23	Búhos ULVR - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
27.07.23	Manta - Búhos ULVR	1:1 ✺
19.07.23	Deportivo Macará - Búhos ULVR	0:0 ✺
12.07.23	Búhos ULVR - Imbabura	2:4 ✺
06.07.23	Vargas Torres - Búhos ULVR	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
27.06.23	Búhos ULVR - América de Quito	3:1
10.05.23	América de Quito - Búhos ULVR	1:0
25.10.22	América de Quito - Búhos ULVR	0:0
14.09.22	Búhos ULVR - América de Quito	0:0
19.07.22	América de Quito - Búhos ULVR	1:2
03.05.22	Búhos ULVR - América de Quito	3:2
30.09.21	Búhos ULVR - América de Quito	1:0

América de Quito - Búhos ULVR