Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio del Conero (Ancona)


	Ancona		Montevarchi

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4
	1.72	3.15	4.7
	1.73	3.25	4.3
	1.77	3.47	4.59
	1.75	3.2	4.33
	1.78	3.48	4.1	Watch
	1.73	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.56)	3.34 ↓ (3.48)	4.33 ↓ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ancona
52%

Draw
27.1%

Montevarchi
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

25.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

24.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ancona's form might have worsened.

Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ancona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Ancona - Montevarchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ancona will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Montevarchi will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ancona: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ancona is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montevarchi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ancona is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ancona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ancona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
24.09.22	Vis Pesaro - Ancona	0:3 ✺
18.09.22	Ancona - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
14.09.22	Ancona - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Pontedera - Ancona	2:2 ✺
05.09.22	Ancona - Siena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWTT
- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
24.09.22	Montevarchi - Fermana	2:2 ✺
18.09.22	Siena - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
14.09.22	Reggiana - Montevarchi	4:0 ✺
11.09.22	Montevarchi - Olbia	0:0 ✺
04.09.22	Gubbio - Montevarchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
20.02.22	Montevarchi - Ancona	3:1
16.10.21	Ancona - Montevarchi	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
21.08.21	Ancona - Montevarchi	2:1 penalties

Ancona - Montevarchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide