Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 26

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Vis Pesaro		Ancona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	2.87	2.4
	2.9	3	2.5	Watch
	2.85	2.88	2.43
	3.09	2.73	2.73
	2.75	3	2.4
	2.84	2.76	2.55
	2.9	2.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.39)	2.86 ↓ (3.03)	2.51 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
31.8%

Draw
31.9%

Ancona
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.1%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

30.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vis Pesaro's form might have worsened.

Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vis Pesaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	81.8%	18.2%

Vis Pesaro - Ancona Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ancona will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neri F. (G) 25. Mattioli A. 6. Rossoni S. 4. Zagnoni D. 13. Neri G. M. 38. Rossetti M. 37. Valdifiori M. (C) 8. Nina C. 7. Pucciarelli M. 20. Karlsson O. 9. Nicastro F.	32. Perucchini F. (G) 30. Pellizzari S. 4. Cella S. 5. Mondonico D. 70. Barnaba T. 94. Saco C. 33. Prezioso M. 21. Paolucci L. 3. Martina A. 9. Spagnoli A. (C) 28. Giampaolo D.
Substitutes
19. Afonso Peixoto 34. Bastianelli R. 35. Caputo S. 85. Castigliani S. 15. Ceccacci M. 80. Da Pozzo L. 60. Gulli M. 99. Kemayou N. 23. Loru L. 30. Mamona B. 12. Mariani M. (G) 32. Molina J. I. 16. Obi J. 11. Pecile D. 22. Polverino E. (G) 5. Tonucci D.	19. Agyemang G. 99. Basso G. 11. Cioffi A. 23. Clemente G. 24. D'Eramo M. 10. Energe A. 8. Gatto E. 13. Marenco F. 90. Moretti F. 34. Radicchio V. M. 22. Testagrossa G. (G) 12. Vitali L. (G) 80. Vogiatzis V.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ancona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vis Pesaro won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Vis Pesaro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
10.02.24	Fermana - Vis Pesaro	0:2 ✺
02.02.24	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Virtus Entella - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Vis Pesaro - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Olbia - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLTTW
- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
11.02.24	Ancona - Olbia	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Juventus U23 - Ancona	3:2 ✺
28.01.24	Ancona - Cesena	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Pineto - Ancona	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Gubbio - Ancona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
08.10.23	Ancona - Vis Pesaro	3:3
28.01.23	Ancona - Vis Pesaro	1:1
24.09.22	Vis Pesaro - Ancona	0:3
23.04.22	Vis Pesaro - Ancona	0:4
19.12.21	Ancona - Vis Pesaro	3:1

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