The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pontedera 39.8%
Draw 28.5%
Ancona 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
26.7%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
25.8%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Pontedera - Ancona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Vivoli N. (G) 4. Calvani G. 5. Martinelli R. 19. Espeche M. 21. Perretta G. 16. Ignacchiti L. 10. Benedetti G. 3. Angori S. 20. Delpupo I. 11. Ianesi S. 99. Ganz S.
32. Perucchini F. (G) 4. Cella S. 27. Pasini N. 5. Mondonico D. 23. Clemente G. 99. Basso G. 8. Gatto E. (C) 21. Paolucci L. 19. Agyemang G. 10. Energe A. 9. Spagnoli A.
Substitutes
7. Ambrosini M. 40. Busi J. (G) 23. Cerretti C. 2. Gagliardi L. 18. Guidi M. 1. Lewis L. (G) 14. Lombardi A. 15. Peli L. 6. Pretato M. 27. Provenzano A. 29. Salvadori A. 26. Selleri G.
24. D'Eramo M. 28. Giampaolo D. 13. Marenco F. 3. Martina A. 90. Moretti F. 34. Radicchio V. M. 94. Saco C. 22. Testagrossa G. (G) 12. Vitali L. (G) 80. Vogiatzis V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Gatto E. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Angori S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Energe A. ↓, Giampaolo D. ↑,
47', 🟨,
60', Paolucci L. 🟨,
64', Ianesi S. ↓, Peli L. ↑,
64', Martinelli R. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
76', Ganz S. ↓, Selleri G. ↑,
77', Espeche M. 🟨,
80', Paolucci L. 🟨,
83', Pasini N. ↓, Saco C. ↑,
84', 🟨,
84', Delpupo I. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
84', Angori S. ↓, Cerretti C. ↑,
88', Clemente G. ↓, D'Eramo M. ↑,
90+3', Calvani G. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Peli L. ⚽,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-8.