Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Ankara Demirspor		Arnavutköy

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.92	3.25
	1.98	3.1	3.89
	2.04	3.08	3.67	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.5
	2.04	2.94	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.15)	2.97 ↑ (2.93)	3.6 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankara Demirspor
44.5%

Draw
30.4%

Arnavutköy
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

30.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankara Demirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Arnavutköy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankara Demirspor than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnavutköy than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Ankara Demirspor - Arnavutköy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Akdogan H. ⚽, Suer B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 2 - 0, Karadas B. ⚽, Akdogan H. (A),
74', 3 - 0, Artuc T. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Ankara Demirspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arnavutköy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ankara Demirspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ankara Demirspor might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ankara Demirspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ankara Demirspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ankara Demirspor	5	2	1	2	9:8	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ankara Demirspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
22.02.26	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Ankara Demirspor	Ankara Demirspor awarded ✺
14.02.26	Ankara Demirspor - 1461 Trabzon	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Ankara Demirspor - Aliaga	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Somaspor - Ankara Demirspor	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Ankara Demirspor - Muş Spor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?WLLL
- Arnavutköy Belediye
Turkish Second League Red Group
22.02.26	Arnavutköy - Mardin 1969	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Fethiyespor - Arnavutköy	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	Arnavutköy - Guzide Gebzespor	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Arnavutköy - Bursaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
18.10.25	Arnavutköy - Ankara Demirspor	0:1
06.04.25	Arnavutköy - Ankara Demirspor	3:2
23.11.24	Ankara Demirspor - Arnavutköy	1:1

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