Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ankara Demirspor		Aliaga

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.4	1.62
	4.88	3.4	1.7
	4.88	3.62	1.65	Watch
	4.8	3.2	1.67
	4.85	3.38	1.67
	4.75	3.33	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (4.17)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankara Demirspor
18.9%

Draw
26.7%

Aliaga
54.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.6%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

26.2%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankara Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankara Demirspor than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-2%)

Ankara Demirspor - Aliaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Sarikaya M. ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, Caliskan L. ⚽, Halidi I. (A),
81', 1 - 2, Koc A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )).

Ankara Demirspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aliaga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Aliaga is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ankara Demirspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ankara Demirspor	8	5	1	2	25:11	14	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ankara Demirspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.01.26	Somaspor - Ankara Demirspor	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Ankara Demirspor - Muş Spor	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Ankara Demirspor - Mardin 1969	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Fethiyespor - Ankara Demirspor	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Guzide Gebzespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL
- Aliaga FK
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.01.26	Aliaga - Mardin 1969	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Fethiyespor - Aliaga	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Aliaga - Guzide Gebzespor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
14.01.26	Aliaga - Samsunspor	2:6 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.01.26	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Aliaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
21.09.25	Aliaga - Ankara Demirspor	2:0

Ankara Demirspor - Aliaga