Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 21

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	Somaspor		Ankara Demirspor

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	1.92
	3.31	3.25	2.12
	3.69	3.43	1.91	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.05
	3.47	3.22	1.99
	3.25	3.1	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (5)	3.22 ↓ (3.5)	2.01 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somaspor
27%

Draw
28.1%

Ankara Demirspor
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

24.8%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

22.7%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Somaspor's performance.

Ankara Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ankara Demirspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Somaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankara Demirspor than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ankara Demirspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Somaspor - Ankara Demirspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Yilmaz A. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Alkas S. ⚽, Saglik E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 2 - 1, Coban C. ⚽, Pektas O. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).

Somaspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ankara Demirspor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Somaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ankara Demirspor is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Somaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Somaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ankara Demirspor	5	2	1	2	9:8	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
17.01.26	Somaspor - Fethiyespor	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Guzide Gebzespor - Somaspor	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Somaspor	6:0 ✺
16.12.25	Somaspor - Bursaspor	0:3 ✺
12.12.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Somaspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.6 LWLLW
- Ankara Demirspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
24.01.26	Ankara Demirspor - Muş Spor	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Ankara Demirspor - Mardin 1969	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Fethiyespor - Ankara Demirspor	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Guzide Gebzespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:0 ✺
17.12.25	Ankara Demirspor - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
13.09.25	Ankara Demirspor - Somaspor	1:0
26.04.25	Somaspor - Ankara Demirspor	3:2
15.12.24	Ankara Demirspor - Somaspor	2:1

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