Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 24

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Ankara Demirspor		1461 Trabzon

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.15	3
	1.99	3.43	3.43
	2.42	3.23	2.75	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.01	3.6	3.29
	2.05	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.36)	3.29 ↑ (3.24)	3.15 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankara Demirspor
43.4%

Draw
27.7%

1461 Trabzon
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

27.5%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankara Demirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ankara Demirspor's performance.

1461 Trabzon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankara Demirspor than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1461 Trabzon than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Ankara Demirspor - 1461 Trabzon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 0, Caliskan L. ⚽,
90+1', Tintis E. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ankara Demirspor won 1.

Ankara Demirspor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

1461 Trabzon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ankara Demirspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ankara Demirspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ankara Demirspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Trabzon FK	5	2	1	2	10:8	2	7
9	Ankara Demirspor	5	2	1	2	9:8	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ankara Demirspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
01.02.26	Ankara Demirspor - Aliaga	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Somaspor - Ankara Demirspor	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Ankara Demirspor - Muş Spor	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Ankara Demirspor - Mardin 1969	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Fethiyespor - Ankara Demirspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW
- 1461 Trabzon
Turkish Second League Red Group
08.02.26	1461 Trabzon - Mardin 1969	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Fethiyespor - 1461 Trabzon	4:1 ✺
27.01.26	1461 Trabzon - Guzide Gebzespor	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	1461 Trabzon - Bursaspor	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Aksaray Belediyespor - 1461 Trabzon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
05.10.25	1461 Trabzon - Ankara Demirspor	3:4
Turkish Second League White Group
03.04.24	1461 Trabzon - Ankara Demirspor	1:0
19.11.23	Ankara Demirspor - 1461 Trabzon	1:3
Turkish Second League Red Group
25.03.23	1461 Trabzon - Ankara Demirspor	2:1
09.10.22	Ankara Demirspor - 1461 Trabzon	0:0
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
10.03.18	Ankara Demirspor - 1461 Trabzon	2:1

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