Match Info

TURKEY: Turkish Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 5 December 2024, Thursday


	Ankara Demirspor		Kastamonuspor

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.45
	2.4	3.2	2.6
	2.55	3.25	2.55
	2.54	3.31	2.57
	2.54	3.33	2.54	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.5
	2.58	3.38	2.59	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (3.17)	3.28 ↑ (3.21)	2.54 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankara Demirspor
36.2%

Draw
27.9%

Kastamonuspor
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

28.3%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

28.2%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankara Demirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ankara Demirspor's performance.

Kastamonuspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kastamonuspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankara Demirspor than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ankara Demirspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastamonuspor than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kastamonuspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Ankara Demirspor - Kastamonuspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ankara Demirspor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kastamonuspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Karadas B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', 1 - 1, Bilgic N. ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, Cayli M. A. ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, Baykus K. ⚽,

Preview

Ankara Demirspor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kastamonuspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kastamonuspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ankara Demirspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ankara Demirspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ankara Demirspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
30.11.24	Erbaaspor - Ankara Demirspor	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Ankara Demirspor - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Aksaray Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	Ankara Demirspor - Menemenspor	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Elazığspor - Ankara Demirspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Kastamonuspor
Turkish Second League White Group
30.11.24	Kastamonuspor - 24 Erzincanspor	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Kırklarelispor - Kastamonuspor	4:1 ✺
17.11.24	Kastamonuspor - Isparta 32 Spor	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Kepez Belediyesi - Kastamonuspor	1:3 ✺
03.11.24	Kastamonuspor - İnegölspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
07.05.23	Kastamonuspor - Ankara Demirspor	1:1
03.12.22	Ankara Demirspor - Kastamonuspor	0:1
26.10.19	Ankara Demirspor - Kastamonuspor	3:1
Turkish Second League White Group
03.02.19	Ankara Demirspor - Kastamonuspor	2:0
16.09.18	Kastamonuspor - Ankara Demirspor	3:1

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