Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 38

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday


	Ankara Demirspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.28	3.05	2.8
	2.75	3.19	2.45
	2.68	3.14	2.53
	2.55	3.05	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (3.13)	3.09 ↓ (3.12)	2.58 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankara Demirspor
35.5%

Draw
29.3%

Kocaelispor
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

29.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28.8%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankara Demirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ankara Demirspor's performance.

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kocaelispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankara Demirspor than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ankara Demirspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kocaelispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ankara Demirspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ankara Demirspor won 1.

Recent matches Ankara Demirspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kocaelispor in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Ankara Demirspor have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ankara Demirspor won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Ankara Demirspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ankara Demirspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
16.05.23	Kırklarelispor - Ankara Demirspor	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Kastamonuspor - Ankara Demirspor	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Ankara Demirspor - Etimesgut	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Karacabey Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:2 ✺
15.04.23	Iskenderunspor - Ankara Demirspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWTL
- Kocaelispor
Turkish Second League Red Group
16.05.23	Kocaelispor - Kastamonuspor	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Etimesgut - Kocaelispor	0:3 ✺
30.04.23	Kocaelispor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
19.04.23	Kocaelispor - Iskenderunspor	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Vanspor - Kocaelispor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
18.12.22	Kocaelispor - Ankara Demirspor	2:4
Turkish Second League White Group
16.05.21	Kocaelispor - Ankara Demirspor	3:0
12.05.21	Ankara Demirspor - Kocaelispor	1:1
14.03.21	Kocaelispor - Ankara Demirspor	3:0
02.01.21	Ankara Demirspor - Kocaelispor	1:3
Turkish 3 Lig Play Offs
08.05.17	Ankara Demirspor - Kocaelispor	0:2
04.05.17	Kocaelispor - Ankara Demirspor	0:0

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