Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 35

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Izmit Stadium (Izmit)


	Kocaelispor		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.82	3.2	3.8
	1.79	3.34	4.27
	1.84	3.28	4.2
	1.81	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.74)	3.26 ↓ (3.41)	4.05 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
49.9%

Draw
27.7%

Karacabey Belediyespor
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.6%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.9%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Kocaelispor - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig and 7).

Kocaelispor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Karacabey Belediyespor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kocaelispor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Karacabey Belediyespor have a series of home games.

In this match Kocaelispor is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kocaelispor won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Kocaelispor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish Second League Red Group
19.04.23	Kocaelispor - Iskenderunspor	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Vanspor - Kocaelispor	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Kocaelispor - Zonguldak Kömürspor	3:0 ✺
29.03.23	Kocaelispor - 1461 Trabzon	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Fethiyespor - Kocaelispor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWTW
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
23.04.23	Karacabey Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:2 ✺
19.04.23	Kastamonuspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Karacabey Belediyespor - Etimesgut	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	Karacabey Belediyespor - Kırklarelispor	2:0 ✺
29.03.23	Karacabey Belediyespor - Iskenderunspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
26.11.22	Karacabey Belediyespor - Kocaelispor	2:2
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
24.11.18	Kocaelispor - Karacabey Belediyespor	3:0
22.04.18	Karacabey Belediyespor - Kocaelispor	1:0
02.12.17	Kocaelispor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:0
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
26.02.17	Kocaelispor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1

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