Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 20

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Ankaragücü		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3
	2.28	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.35	3.5	3.22
	2.35	3.43	3.22
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.3	3.61	3.19	Watch
	2.2	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.28)	3.44 ↓ (3.6)	3.08 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
41.8%

Draw
27.5%

Kasımpaşa
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

26.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

26.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

Ankaragücü - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ankaragücü will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasımpaşa: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gungordu B. (G) 70. Kitsiou S. 26. Radakovic U. 18. Mujakic N. 29. Cephas R. 23. Guneren A. K. 4. Cankaya A. R. 80. Morutan O. 8. Pedrinho 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 9. Bajic R.	1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Claudio Winck 29. Aydin T. 58. Ozcan Y. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 6. Gul G. 35. Kara A. 7. Fall M. 10. Hajradinovic H. (C) 97. Gomis I. 18. Da Costa N.
Substitutes
21. Astanakulov S. 77. Bilazer H. 45. Cetin M. 30. Cigerci T. 16. Dokanovic A. 1. Gikiewicz R. (G) 5. Hanousek M. 41. Kaya D. (G) 32. Macheda F. 6. Turkmen C.	13. Aktas A. 20. Dilli S. 90. Kilinc A. E. 25. Yanar A. (G) 19. Yavrucu S. 42. Yigit E. 26. Yildiz M. (G)
Coaches
Belozoglu E.	Ugurlu S.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kasımpaşa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ankaragücü will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ankaragücü won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Super League
09.01.24	Alanyaspor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Ankaragücü - Trabzonspor	0:1 ✺
25.12.23	Pendikspor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
21.12.23	Ankaragücü - Hatayspor	0:0 ✺
11.12.23	Ankaragücü - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLTTT
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
09.01.24	Kasımpaşa - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:3 ✺
05.01.24	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	1:3 ✺
25.12.23	Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2 ✺
20.12.23	Antalyaspor - Kasımpaşa	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
12.08.23	Kasımpaşa - Ankaragücü	3:2
29.04.23	Ankaragücü - Kasımpaşa	0:0
04.11.22	Kasımpaşa - Ankaragücü	1:1
11.05.21	Kasımpaşa - Ankaragücü	3:1
21.01.21	Ankaragücü - Kasımpaşa	1:0
02.02.20	Ankaragücü - Kasımpaşa	1:1
30.08.19	Kasımpaşa - Ankaragücü	0:1

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