Match Info

TURKEY: TURKISH CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Saka S. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ankaragücü		Çaykur Rizespor

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3.16
	1.94	3.4	4.2
	1.91	3.25	3.4
	2.03	3.37	3.57	Watch
	2.02	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.08)	3.36 ↓ (3.53)	3.57 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
46.1%

Draw
27.8%

Çaykur Rizespor
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

25.7%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

26.4%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Çaykur Rizespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	26.3%	21.1%

Ankaragücü - Çaykur Rizespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ankaragücü will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Rizespor will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ankaragücü: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gungordu B. (G) 70. Kitsiou S. 45. Cetin M. 18. Mujakic N. 5. Hanousek M. 8. Pedrinho 23. Guneren A. K. 80. Morutan O. 10. Bekiroglu E. 29. Cephas R. 32. Macheda F.	1. Cetin T. (G) 27. Korkmaz E. 4. Mocsi A. 16. Yasar A. 3. Pehlivan I. 8. Varesanovic D. 54. Pala M. 11. Gustavo Sauer 21. Oscar Pinchi 77. Zeqiri A. 89. Minchev M.
Substitutes
21. Astanakulov S. 9. Bajic R. 77. Bilazer H. 4. Cankaya A. R. 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 30. Cigerci T. 16. Dokanovic A. 1. Gikiewicz R. (G) 26. Radakovic U. 6. Turkmen C.	19. Diouf O. 20. Faye M. 9. Gaich A. 30. Gorgen Z. (G) 7. Keser B. 10. Olawoyin I. 37. Sahin T. 6. Shelvey J. 53. Topcu E. H. 66. Usta G.
Coaches
Belozoglu E.	Palut I.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 1.

Recent matches Ankaragücü is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rizespor is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Rizespor have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Ankaragücü won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Super League
13.01.24	Ankaragücü - Kasımpaşa	3:1 ✺
09.01.24	Alanyaspor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Ankaragücü - Trabzonspor	0:1 ✺
25.12.23	Pendikspor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
21.12.23	Ankaragücü - Hatayspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLTT
- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League
13.01.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Adana Demirspor	1:0 ✺
09.01.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Beşiktaş	0:4 ✺
06.01.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Hatayspor	2:0 ✺
25.12.23	Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2 ✺
21.12.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Pendikspor	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
11.12.23	Ankaragücü - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1
22.02.21	Ankaragücü - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1
17.10.20	Çaykur Rizespor - Ankaragücü	5:3
13.03.20	Ankaragücü - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1
25.10.19	Çaykur Rizespor - Ankaragücü	2:0
04.05.19	Ankaragücü - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2
30.11.18	Çaykur Rizespor - Ankaragücü	1:1

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