Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 17

Date: 21 December 2023, Thursday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Bitigen A. (Tur)


	Ankaragücü		Hatayspor

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.2
	2.22	3.35	3.15	Watch
	1.98	3.87	3.81
	2.32	3.28	3.44
	2.1	3.3	3.2
	2.19	3.34	3.28	Watch
	2.24	3.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.55)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	3.25 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
43.3%

Draw
27.7%

Hatayspor
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.9%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ankaragücü's performance.

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hatayspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ankaragücü that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hatayspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	42.9%	21.4%

Ankaragücü - Hatayspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Ankaragücü will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Hatayspor will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.6% – 61.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gungordu B. (G) 4. Cankaya A. R. 26. Radakovic U. 18. Mujakic N. 3. Uludag A. 23. Guneren A. K. 8. Pedrinho 80. Morutan O. 10. Bekiroglu E. 29. Cephas R. 9. Bajic R.	1. Kardesler E. (G) 22. Alici K. 3. Kilama G. 19. Maksimovic N. 57. Aksoy E. 5. Saglam G. 10. Strandberg C. 17. Dele-Bashiru F. 29. Aburjania G. 99. Rivas R. 9. Dadashov R.
Substitutes
77. Bilazer H. 45. Cetin M. 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 16. Dokanovic A. 1. Gikiewicz R. (G) 5. Hanousek M. 70. Kitsiou S. 32. Macheda F. 11. Rodrigues G. 6. Turkmen C.	20. Aabid R. 12. Bekaj V. (G) 86. Bekaroglu B. 7. Beyaz O. 27. Demir C. 28. Demir I. 77. Fernandes J. 18. Hodzic A. 4. Massanga Matondo 31. Matur O.
Coaches
Belozoglu E.	Demirel V.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ankaragücü could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ankaragücü have a series of home games.

Ankaragücü will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ankaragücü: Cigerci T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Hatayspor: Boudjemaa M. (Muscle Injury) Corekci K. (Muscle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ankaragücü won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Super League
11.12.23	Ankaragücü - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
07.12.23	Ankaragücü - Iskenderunspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
03.12.23	Ankaragücü - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Gaziantep - Ankaragücü	0:1 ✺
10.11.23	Ankaragücü - Antalyaspor	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTWL
- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
10.12.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Hatayspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
06.12.23	Hatayspor - Düzcespor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.12.23	Hatayspor - Antalyaspor	3:3 ✺
25.11.23	İstanbulspor - Hatayspor	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Hatayspor - Galatasaray	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
30.10.22	Ankaragücü - Hatayspor	4:1
27.02.21	Hatayspor - Ankaragücü	4:1
15.12.20	Ankaragücü - Hatayspor	2:0
Club Friendly
31.07.19	Ankaragücü - Hatayspor	2:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
18.12.16	Hatayspor - Ankaragücü	1:1
09.02.15	Hatayspor - Ankaragücü	2:1

Ankaragücü - Hatayspor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide