Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, TRT Spor


	Ankaragücü		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	7	Watch
	1.36	4.4	6.75
	1.4	4.75	7.5
	1.38	4.76	7.98
	1.41	4.59	7.2	Watch
	1.3	4.6	8
	1.34	4.7	8	Watch
	1.4	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.53)	4.59 ↑ (4.17)	7.49 ↑ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
67.5%

Draw
20.1%

Erokspor
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.4%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

22%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ankaragücü's performance.

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ankaragücü that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Ankaragücü - Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Ankaragücü will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ozbir E. (G) 23. Guneren A. K. 16. Cokcalis I. 18. Uludag A. 26. Schulz N. 88. Celik O. 22. Rotariu D. 6. Turkmen C. 10. Bekiroglu E. 14. Varga K. 9. Bajic R.	1. Kilicarslan E. (G) 70. Orak F. 14. Mert M. 15. Nzaba F. 53. Albayrak M. 26. Jack R. 6. Laine J. 11. Faye M. 8. Karaman A. 21. Oscar Pinchi 9. Catakovic H.
Substitutes
19. Astanakulov S. 77. Bilazer H. 29. Cephas R. 8. Cigerci T. 5. Coelho D. 99. Gungordu B. (G) 30. Kesik M. 35. Nazarov H. 21. Tekdemir M. 27. Unyay A.	80. Aydogmus B. 77. Ceylan O. 78. Fernandes J. 99. Furat I. 10. Hidayetoglu A. 29. Jair 4. Kacar T. 98. Kafkasyali E. (G) 3. Korkmazoglu E. 41. Narin S.
Coaches
Kocak K.	Altiparmak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Uludag A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Rotariu D. ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Bajic R. ⚽, Cokcalis I. (A),
70', Guneren A. K. ↓, Kesik M. ↑,
70', Schulz N. ↓, Bilazer H. ↑,
74', Oscar Pinchi ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
74', Karaman A. ↓, Kacar T. ↑,
79', Bajic R. ↓, Tekdemir M. ↑,
80', Laine J. ↓, Jair ↑,
86', Orak F. ↓, Ceylan O. ↑,
86', Jack R. ↓, Furat I. ↑,
87', Cokcalis I. ↓, Unyay A. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Cephas R. ⚽, Varga K. (A),
90+7', 3 - 0, Bekiroglu E. ⚽, Tekdemir M. (A),
90+9', Kilicarslan E. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Ankaragücü could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ankaragücü is absolute favorite.

There are questionable in Ankaragücü: Dadashov R. (Hernia)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish First League
03.11.24	Igdirspor - Ankaragücü	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.24	Bursa Nilüferspor - Ankaragücü	2:3 ✺
Turkish First League
26.10.24	Ankaragücü - Kocaelispor	4:2 ✺
18.10.24	Yeni Malatyaspor - Ankaragücü	0:3 ✺
05.10.24	Ankaragücü - Adanaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWT
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
02.11.24	Erokspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:1 ✺
28.10.24	Manisa FK - Erokspor	0:1 ✺
21.10.24	Erokspor - Keçiörengücü	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Amed SK - Erokspor	0:4 ✺
29.09.24	Erokspor - Pendikspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 TWTWW

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