Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin)

Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ESPN 1
Asia	TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 2
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	SportKlub 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Hungary	Sport 2
Kazakhstan	Sport+
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Sport TV4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Disney+


	Hatayspor		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.5	1.27	Watch
	9	5.75	1.28
	10.12	6.14	1.25	Watch
	9.48	6.05	1.28	Watch
	9	5.8	1.29
	10.2	6.37	1.3	Watch
	10.12	6.14	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.49 ↓ (10.89)	5.96 ↑ (5.57)	1.27 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 3

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Current Win Probability

Hatayspor
10%

Draw
15.9%

Galatasaray
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.6%

16.9%

74.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	13.6%	72.7%

Hatayspor - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bekaj V. (G) 2. Corekci K. (C) 3. Kilama G. 4. Calvo F. 88. Sertel C. 5. Saglam G. 17. Diack L. 6. Parmak A. 77. Fernandes J. 9. Aboubakar V. 99. Rivas R.	1. Muslera F. (C) 23. Ayhan K. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. 4. Jakobs I. 34. Torreira L. 18. Kutlu B. 11. Akgun Y. 10. Mertens D. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 45. Osimhen V.
Substitutes
22. Alici K. 7. Bamgboye F. 98. Boutobba B. 8. Massanga Matondo 31. Matur O. 34. Saricali D. (G) 10. Strandberg C. 16. Temel S. 25. Yildiz A. 15. Yilmaz R. B.	83. Akman E. 5. Aydin E. 90. Baltaci M. 44. Batshuayi M. 8. Demirbay K. 30. Demir Y. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 24. Jelert E. 25. Nelsson V. 7. Sallai R.
Coaches
Sahin M.	Buruk O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Ayhan K. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Sertel C. ⚽, Rivas R. (A),
45+2', Diack L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bardakci A. ↓, Sallai R. ↑,
46', Ayhan K. ↓, Demirbay K. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Osimhen V. (Pen),
59', Corekci K. 🟨,
72', Parmak A. ↓, Boutobba B. ↑,
72', Fernandes J. 🟨,
73', Sertel C. ↓, Alici K. ↑,
73', Rivas R. ↓, Massanga Matondo ↑,
82', Torreira L. ↓, Batshuayi M. ↑,
88', Saglam G. ↓, Yilmaz R. B. ↑,
88', Mertens D. ↓, Demir Y. ↑,
88', Bekaj V. 🟨,
90+2', Aboubakar V. ↓, Strandberg C. ↑,
90+5', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 2.

Hatayspor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Galatasaray in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hatayspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Galatasaray is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Hatayspor: Kardesler E. (Yellow Cards) Okoronkwo J. (Foot Injury) Rui Pedro (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Galatasaray: Gabriel Sara (Muscle Injury) Icardi M. (Knee Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:20 (average 1.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Hatayspor won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:5 (average 3.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
11.01.25	Hatayspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Fenerbahçe - Hatayspor	2:1 ✺
23.12.24	Hatayspor - Adana Demirspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
19.12.24	Iskenderunspor - Hatayspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
15.12.24	Hatayspor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT
- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
12.01.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
08.01.25	Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
04.01.25	Galatasaray - Göztepe	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Kayserispor - Galatasaray	1:5 ✺
16.12.24	Galatasaray - Trabzonspor	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
09.08.24	Galatasaray - Hatayspor	2:1
02.04.24	Galatasaray - Hatayspor	1:0
11.11.23	Hatayspor - Galatasaray	2:1
13.01.23	Galatasaray - Hatayspor	4:0
16.01.22	Hatayspor - Galatasaray	4:2
23.08.21	Galatasaray - Hatayspor	2:1
03.04.21	Hatayspor - Galatasaray	3:0

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