Match Info

Super Lig - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Samsunspor		Gaziantep

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.71	3.75	4.6
	1.97	3.32	3.77	Watch
	2	3.4	4.31
	1.82	3.59	4.44	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.8
	2.01	3.48	4.08	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.69)	3.49 ↓ (3.92)	4.19 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
50.4%

Draw
27.1%

Gaziantep
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.1%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.3%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samsunspor's form might have worsened.

Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samsunspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	23.5%	5.9%

Samsunspor - Gaziantep Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kocuk O. (G) 2. Mendes J. 24. Borevkovic T. 4. Van Drongelen R. (C) 17. Tomasson L. 5. Yuksel C. 55. Cift Y. E. 7. Tavsan E. 20. Kayan Y. 47. Assoumou J. 9. Marius	71. Bozan M. (G) 23. Sanuc T. T. 14. Abena M. 5. Mujakic N. 30. Sangare N. 61. Ozcicek O. 3. Camara D. 77. Rodrigues K. 10. Kozlowski K. 9. Bayo M. 11. Lungoyi C.
Substitutes
23. Albak E. 16. Bulbul T. 15. Diabbate A. B. 28. Gonul S. 21. Holse C. 29. Makoumbou A. 19. Ndiaye C. 37. Satka L. 48. Toruz E. B. (G) 33. Ustun E. (G)	85. Akmelek M. 17. Gassama K. 8. Gidado V. 20. Gorgen Z. (G) 32. Kabadayi Y. 6. Kabasakal M. 26. Kalin A. O. 44. Maxim A. 83. Mujdeci M. 18. Sorescu D.
Coaches
Fink T.	Yilmaz B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Assoumou J. ↓, Holse C. ↑,
37', Kayan Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Abena M. ↓, Sorescu D. ↑,
57', Camara D. ↓, Gidado V. ↑,
58', Sangare N. 🟨,
67', Ozcicek O. ↓, Maxim A. ↑,
72', Lungoyi C. 🟨,
76', Tomasson L. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
76', Marius ↓, Ndiaye C. ↑,
76', Kayan Y. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
77', Kozlowski K. 🟨,
80', Kozlowski K. ↓, Gassama K. ↑,
80', Bayo M. ↓, Kabadayi Y. ↑,
89', Yuksel C. ↓, Diabbate A. B. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Samsunspor is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Samsunspor: Bulbul T. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly T. (Knee Injury) Kilinc E. (Inactive) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A. (Knee Injury) M'Bakata S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Gaziantep: Ndiaye B. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Gaziantep	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8
16	Samsunspor	7	1	1	5	6:15	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Samsunspor - Shkendija Tetovo	4:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.02.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Samsunspor	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Samsunspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.02.26	Antalyaspor - Samsunspor	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWLL
- Gaziantep FK
Turkish Super League
22.02.26	Gaziantep - Trabzonspor	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Kocaelispor - Gaziantep	3:0 ✺
09.02.26	Gaziantep - Kasımpaşa	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.02.26	Keçiörengücü - Gaziantep	1:5 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.02.26	Gençlerbirliği - Gaziantep	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
27.09.25	Gaziantep - Samsunspor	2:2
24.01.25	Samsunspor - Gaziantep	2:1
18.08.24	Gaziantep - Samsunspor	0:1
18.02.24	Gaziantep - Samsunspor	1:1
29.09.23	Samsunspor - Gaziantep	1:2
Turkish First League
22.01.18	Gaziantep - Samsunspor	3:0
13.08.17	Samsunspor - Gaziantep	0:0

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