Match Info

Super Lig - Round 36

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX


	Samsunspor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4.33
	1.66	3.99	4.72	Watch
	1.74	3.93	5.04
	1.78	3.72	4.56	Watch
	1.67	3.75	4.5
	1.71	3.91	4.83	Watch
	1.66	3.99	4.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.73)	3.83 ↑ (3.5)	4.68 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
55.2%

Draw
24.6%

Sivasspor
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

22.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samsunspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Samsunspor - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Sivasspor (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. (C) 37. Satka L. 4. Van Drongelen R. 16. Bola M. 6. Ait Bennasser Y. 10. Ntcham O. 17. Schindler K. 21. Holse C. 11. Kilinc E. 14. Dimata L.	35. Vural A. (G) 7. Paluli M. 26. Radakovic U. 14. Camara S. 3. Ciftci U. (C) 80. Bekiroglu E. 55. Koita F. 12. Moutoussamy S. 8. Charisis C. 24. Rodrigues G. 22. Simic V.
Substitutes
8. Aydogdu S. 96. Cetin B. 55. Cift Y. E. 28. Gonul S. 9. Marius 7. Muja A. 2. Nanu 13. Tait F. 45. Yeral H. (G) 5. Yuksel C.	17. Bassan E. 53. Basyigit E. 46. Boke T. 58. Erdal Z. 74. Erdursun A. (G) 11. Menig Q. 23. Okumus A. 44. Poungouras A. 10. Pritchard A. 90. Turgunboev A.
Coaches
Reis T.	Calimbay R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Dimata L. ⚽,
40', Camara S. 🟨,
44', Moutoussamy S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Simic V. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
60', Schindler K. ↓, Muja A. ↑,
60', Rodrigues G. ↓, Turgunboev A. ↑,
73', Dimata L. ↓, Marius ↑,
75', Paluli M. 🟨,
83', Holse C. ↓, Yuksel C. ↑,
85', Bekiroglu E. ↓, Menig Q. ↑,
86', Yuksel C. 🟨,
90+3', Paluli M. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

In recent matches, Samsunspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sivasspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Samsunspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Samsunspor is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury) Bieganski J. (Injury) Nikolic D. (Injury) Okumus A. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
04.05.25	Samsunspor - Eyüpspor	3:0 ✺
26.04.25	Bodrumspor - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Alanyaspor - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Samsunspor - Galatasaray	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Antalyaspor - Samsunspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLL
- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
11.05.25	Sivasspor - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Galatasaray - Sivasspor	4:1 ✺
26.04.25	Sivasspor - Antalyaspor	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor	3:1 ✺
13.04.25	Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
21.12.24	Sivasspor - Samsunspor	0:0
14.01.24	Samsunspor - Sivasspor	2:0
13.08.23	Sivasspor - Samsunspor	1:1
Club Friendly
03.09.17	Sivasspor - Samsunspor	1:1
Turkish Super League
07.04.12	Samsunspor - Sivasspor	1:2

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