Match Info

1. Lig - Round 29

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii


	Sivasspor		Keçiörengücü

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.25
	1.95	3.49	3.4	Watch
	2.02	3.7	3.61
	1.93	3.96	3.35	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	1.96	3.58	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.98)	3.56 ↓ (3.57)	3.44 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
47.3%

Draw
25.9%

Keçiörengücü
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Sivasspor - Keçiörengücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sivasspor: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakirbas G. (G) 7. Paluli M. 20. Celik M. 3. Erdogan O. 5. Basyigit E. 8. Charisis C. 80. Celik C. 10. Okoronkwo J. 15. Fidan K. 27. Ethemi V. 9. Manaj R. (C)	18. Satilmis E. (G) 10. Bulut H. 5. Caliskan O. 4. Celik A. 11. Dere A. 36. Karaogul I. 14. Akdag I. (C) 7. Roshi O. 8. Rroca E. 21. Ezeh F. 55. Diouf M.
Substitutes
22. Akkan G. (G) 92. Ala S. 72. Avramovski D. 14. Boke T. 19. Gokay E. 17. Kesgin K. 12. Malle A. 95. Selvili A. 6. Yigiter O. 26. Yildirim M.	9. Akman A. 22. Ayan H. 98. Cakmak M. 70. Diaby O. 79. Duman A. 78. Fernandes J. 73. Lus S. 23. Mexer 88. Ozer A. (G) 15. Wellington Nascimento
Coaches
Tasdemir I.	Kosukavak Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Charisis C. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Roshi O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Okoronkwo J. ↓, Malle A. ↑,
46', Fidan K. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
60', Karaogul I. 🟨,
67', Celik C. ↓, Avramovski D. ↑,
69', Rroca E. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,
69', Diouf M. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
82', Celik A. 🟨,
86', Ezeh F. ↓, Diaby O. ↑,
86', Karaogul I. ↓, Wellington Nascimento ↑,
89', Paluli M. 🟨,
90+1', Charisis C. 🟨,
90+1', Wellington Nascimento 🟨,
90+3', Wellington Nascimento 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).

Recent performances by Sivasspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Keçiörengücü is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sivasspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sivasspor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Appindangoye A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Keskin B. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Keçiörengücü: Rroca E. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sivasspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keciorengucu	8	3	4	1	17:10	7	13
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	9:11	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
01.03.26	Serik Belediyespor - Sivasspor	0:1 ✺
23.02.26	Sivasspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
19.02.26	Adana Demirspor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Sivasspor - Vanspor	3:3 ✺
07.02.26	Sarıyer - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTTL
- Keçiörengücü
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü	4:2 ✺
Turkish First League
28.02.26	Keçiörengücü - Amed SK	2:2 ✺
23.02.26	Pendikspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
18.02.26	Keçiörengücü - Erzurumspor	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Bodrumspor - Keçiörengücü	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
19.10.25	Keçiörengücü - Sivasspor	0:0
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Keçiörengücü - Sivasspor	1:4
18.01.24	Sivasspor - Keçiörengücü	3:2

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