Match Info

Super Lig - Round 38

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Çaykur Didi Stadyumu (Rize)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Çaykur Rizespor		Hatayspor

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.5	7.5	Watch
	1.42	5.25	5.75
	1.25	6.57	9.22	Watch
	1.27	6.4	8.15
	1.29	6.5	8.26	Watch
	1.4	5	6
	1.27	6.8	8.85	Watch
	1.25	6.57	9.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)	6.2 ↑ (5.28)	7.87 ↑ (6.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Çaykur Rizespor
72.7%

Draw
15.3%

Hatayspor
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

17.8%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

17.3%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Çaykur Rizespor - Hatayspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Rizespor will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Hatayspor will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rizespor: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Rizespor (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Hatayspor (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Hatayspor (5.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Rizespor (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Rizespor (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Hatayspor (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Grbic I. (G) 37. Sahin T. 3. Akaydin S. 4. Mocsi A. 5. Hojer C. (C) 54. Pala M. 10. Olawoyin I. 19. Ghezzal R. 8. Varesanovic D. 28. Akintola B. 9. Sowe A.	34. Saricali D. (G) 22. Alici K. (C) 15. Yilmaz R. B. 95. Buz Y. A. 27. Demir C. 16. Temel S. 6. Parmak A. 5. Saglam G. 98. Boutobba B. 11. Okoronkwo J. 77. Fernandes J.
Substitutes
97. Avci D. 96. Baltaci M. 17. Bulut E. 35. Dogan E. (G) 45. Karapo A. 27. Korkmaz E. 95. Ozbakir H. 20. Ozcan B. 11. Yasar D. 77. Zeqiri A.	94. Aksoy D. 96. Aydemir E. 78. Daduk E. (G) 17. Diack L. 52. Goc B. 23. Sarka B. 25. Yildiz A. 93. Zobu I.
Coaches
Palut I.	Sahin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Ghezzal R. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
41', Akaydin S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Akintola B. ⚽, Pala M. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', Akaydin S. ↓, Karapo A. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Sowe A. ⚽, Hojer C. (A),
61', Akintola B. ↓, Bulut E. ↑,
61', Sahin T. ↓, Korkmaz E. ↑,
66', Hojer C. ↓, Ozcan B. ↑,
68', Parmak A. ↓, Diack L. ↑,
68', Temel S. ↓, Sarka B. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Buz Y. A. ⚽,
72', 3 - 1, Bulut E. ⚽, Zeqiri A. (A),
74', 3 - 2, Alici K. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
77', Karapo A. 🟨,
81', Buz Y. A. ↓, Aydemir E. ↑,
89', Saglam G. ↓, Zobu I. ↑,
89', Fernandes J. ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 2, Olawoyin I. ⚽, Bulut E. (A),
90+3', 5 - 2, Sowe A. ⚽, Varesanovic D. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Hatayspor is Relegated to 1. Lig

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rizespor won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Rizespor is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Rizespor: Papanikolaou G. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Hatayspor: Corekci K. (Yellow Cards) Rui Pedro (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rizespor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rizespor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League
25.05.25	Beşiktaş - Çaykur Rizespor	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Göztepe	6:3 ✺
10.05.25	Konyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Gaziantep	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Kayserispor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLWL
- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
26.05.25	Hatayspor - Fenerbahçe	4:2 ✺
17.05.25	Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor	0:5 ✺
11.05.25	Göztepe - Hatayspor	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Hatayspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:4 ✺
25.04.25	Beşiktaş - Hatayspor	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
11.01.25	Hatayspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:2
26.05.24	Hatayspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:0
06.01.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Hatayspor	2:0
Club Friendly
15.07.22	Hatayspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:3
Turkish Super League
23.01.22	Hatayspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:0
12.09.21	Çaykur Rizespor - Hatayspor	0:2
13.03.21	Çaykur Rizespor - Hatayspor	1:0

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