The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Annan Athletic 34.3%
Draw 26.6%
Stranraer 39.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.6%
26.1%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
25.8%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Annan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Annan Athletic - Stranraer Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Albinson C. (G) 20. Carrick D. 6. Watson K. 3. Clark C. 16. Buchanan S. 14. Williams C. 33. Gibson W. 19. Maxwell C. 9. Smith A. 17. O'Donnell C. 18. Roy A.
1. Currie M. (G) 2. Dunne E. 4. McLuckie M. 5. Nair K. 22. Coll B. (C) 8. Quigg A. 12. Traynor A. 14. Bruce Z. 11. Healy A. 24. Mason S. 16. Dobbie L.
Substitutes
7. Dixon J. 12. Fleming G. (G) 10. Muir T. 21. Niang M. 8. Smith P. 11. Williams D.
20. Cameron C. 77. Clelland D. 7. Dolan J. 9. Foster R. 21. Gillie L. 13. Henderson E. (G) 18. Lynch E. 10. Plank D. 6. Stuart J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Traynor A. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Healy A. ⚽, Traynor A. (A),
36', 0 - 2, Healy A. ⚽, Traynor A. (A),
37', Gibson W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', O'Donnell C. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
46', Roy A. ↓, Muir T. ↑,
46', Carrick D. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
46', Buchanan S. ↓, Dixon J. ↑,
60', 0 - 3, Traynor A. ⚽, Quigg A. (A),
64', Traynor A. ↓, Dolan J. ↑,
69', 0 - 4, Muir T. (Own goal),
69', Mason S. ↓, Clelland D. ↑,
70', Bruce Z. ↓, Stuart J. ↑,
70', Williams C. ↓, Smith P. ↑,
73', 0 - 5, Clelland D. ⚽, Healy A. (A),
75', 1 - 5, Smith A. ⚽, Niang M. (A),
75', Coll B. ↓, Gillie L. ↑,
75', Healy A. ↓, Plank D. ↑,
77', 1 - 6, Clelland D. ⚽, Dunne E. (A),
84', Williams D. 🟨,
89', Clark C. 🟨,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 9th and 1st in the Promotion - League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Annan won 3.
Annan has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Stranraer is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Annan has recorded 8 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:20 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Annan against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:14 goals (averaging 1.7:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Stranraer
11
7
2
2
25:9
16
23
10
Annan
11
3
0
8
11:21
-10
9
Outrights of Scottish League Two for now
Stranraer: 21.07% Annan: 0.84%
Last Results with these Odds
Annan Athletic - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.58%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Stranraer - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.3%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
United Kingdom
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Albinson C. (G) 
Carrick D. 
Roy A. 
Niang M. 
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