Match Info

League Two - Round 25

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Galabank (Annan)


	Annan Athletic		East Kilbride

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.45
	2.52	3.6	2.38
	2.46	3.58	2.6
	2.43	3.57	2.53	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.4
	2.44	3.74	2.54
	2.36	3.4	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.67)	3.56 ↓ (3.57)	2.49 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annan Athletic
37.4%

Draw
25.8%

East Kilbride
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

25.6%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

25%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

East Kilbride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Annan Athletic - East Kilbride Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Albinson C. (G) 20. Carrick D. 6. Watson K. 2. Hooper S. 16. Clark C. 33. Gibson W. 8. Smith P. 4. Dixon J. 7. McGowan P. 9. Smith A. 5. Muir T. (C)	1. Hepburn C. (G) 5. Fagan S. 2. Young S. 4. Hamilton J. 3. Kyle A. 19. Robertson K. 6. Leitch J. (C) 10. Robertson J. 8. Balde J. 7. Mcluckie B. 9. Elliott C.
Substitutes
12. Clarke G. (G) 11. Gaffney M. 3. Kilsby M. 19. Maxwell C. 14. Muir R. 18. Mumbongo J.	20. Breen R. 16. Dobbie L. 12. Foster K. 18. McGregor J. 21. Morrison J. (G) 27. Mylchreest J. 25. Spence L. . Strachan 11. Young C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 1 - 0, Smith P. ⚽,
16', Elliott C. ↓, Young C. ↑,
22', 1 - 1, Young C. ⚽, Mcluckie B. (A),
40', 1 - 2, Robertson J. ⚽, Robertson K. (A),
42', 1 - 3, Balde J. ⚽, Robertson J. (A),
44', Watson K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Smith P. ↓, Muir R. ↑,
55', Robertson J. 🟨,
57', Leitch J. 🟨,
63', Clark C. ↓, Mumbongo J. ↑,
66', Fagan S. 🟨,
69', 2 - 3, Mumbongo J. ⚽, Gibson W. (A),
74', Fagan S. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
75', Gibson W. 🟨,
75', Robertson K. ↓, Spence L. ↑,
81', Albinson C. 🟥,
81', Dixon J. ↓, Clarke G. ↑,
82', Hamilton J. ↓, Breen R. ↑,
87', 2 - 4, Young C. ⚽, Mcluckie B. (A),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

East Kilbride may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Annan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Annan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Annan: 2.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Annan	9	3	0	6	9:11	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Annan Athletic - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.2%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annan Athletic
Scottish League Two
10.02.26	Annan Athletic - Dumbarton	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Stranraer - Annan Athletic	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Annan Athletic - Clyde	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Edinburgh City - Annan Athletic	2:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
16.01.26	Glasgow Rangers - Annan Athletic	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTTL
- East Kilbride FC
Scottish League Two
07.02.26	Edinburgh City - East Kilbride	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	East Kilbride - Forfar Athletic	3:1 ✺
27.01.26	East Kilbride - Spartans	0:6 ✺
24.01.26	East Kilbride - Stranraer	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Stirling Albion - East Kilbride	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
20.12.25	East Kilbride - Annan Athletic	1:3
27.09.25	Annan Athletic - East Kilbride	3:1
Scottish Challenge Cup
23.08.22	East Kilbride - Annan Athletic	1:2 penalties

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