Match Info

League Two - Round 22

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: K-Park Training Academy (East Kilbride)


	East Kilbride		Stranraer

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.33
	1.58	3.7	4.6
	1.62	3.9	4.55
	1.69	4	4.33
	1.78	3.48	4.18	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.33
	1.72	3.75	4.52
	1.57	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)	3.77 ↑ (3.71)	4.42 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Kilbride
55%

Draw
24.3%

Stranraer
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.6%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23.3%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Kilbride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

East Kilbride - Stranraer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hepburn C. (G) 2. Young S. 23. McGregor J. 4. Hamilton J. 20. Breen R. 10. Robertson J. 24. Williamson B. 8. Balde J. 6. Leitch J. 7. Mcluckie B. 9. Elliott C.	1. Currie M. (G) 14. Dunne E. 5. Rough S. 4. Reid L. 22. Coll B. 8. Quigg A. 21. Gillies M. 7. Dolan J. 16. Plank D. 52. Clelland D. 24. Lang D.
Substitutes
16. Dobbie L. 5. Fagan S. 12. Foster K. 21. Morrison J. (G) 25. Spence L. 11. Young C.	6. Docherty S. 3. Ecrepont F. 13. Henderson E. (G) 15. Hughes R. 23. Hunter L. 10. McKnight K. 18. O'Donnell C. 11. Russell M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Dolan J. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Clelland D. ⚽,
36', Hamilton J. ↓, Fagan S. ↑,
45', Clelland D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Williamson B. ↓, Spence L. ↑,
46', Leitch J. ↓, Young C. ↑,
54', Lang D. ↓, Russell M. ↑,
60', Coll B. 🟨,
63', Young S. 🟨,
72', Young S. ↓, Foster K. ↑,
76', Plank D. ↓, Hunter L. ↑,
77', Dolan J. 🟨,
79', Coll B. ↓, Ecrepont F. ↑,
84', Clelland D. ↓, O'Donnell C. ↑,
90+3', Hepburn C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, East Kilbride won 2.

East Kilbride is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stranraer's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stranraer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, East Kilbride is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, East Kilbride won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, East Kilbride won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Stranraer: 16.43%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stranraer	9	5	2	2	17:8	9	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Kilbride FC
Scottish League Two
17.01.26	Stirling Albion - East Kilbride	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	East Kilbride - Clyde	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	East Kilbride - Annan Athletic	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Dumbarton - East Kilbride	2:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.12.25	East Kilbride - Stranraer	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WTLLL
- Stranraer FC
Scottish Cup
20.01.26	Stranraer - Queens Park	2:1 penalties ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	Ayr United - Stranraer	4:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
10.01.26	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Annan Athletic - Stranraer	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
09.12.25	East Kilbride - Stranraer	1:4
Scottish League Two
15.11.25	Stranraer - East Kilbride	1:3
16.08.25	East Kilbride - Stranraer	3:1
Scottish Highland League
18.05.24	Stranraer - East Kilbride	3:1 ET
11.05.24	East Kilbride - Stranraer	2:2
Scottish League Cup
17.07.21	Stranraer - East Kilbride	1:0
Scottish Cup
03.12.16	Stranraer - East Kilbride	2:1

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