Match Info

League Two - Round 21

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Forthbank Stadium (Stirling)


	Stirling Albion		East Kilbride

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.7	1.65
	4.15	3.95	1.65
	4.11	3.77	1.73	Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.7
	4.38	3.85	1.72
	3.8	4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↓ (4.76)	3.85 ↓ (3.89)	1.69 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stirling Albion
22.1%

Draw
23.8%

East Kilbride
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

23.4%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

19%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stirling Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

East Kilbride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stirling Albion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for East Kilbride, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stirling Albion - East Kilbride Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gaston D. (G) 30. Crane C. 4. Hamilton L. (C) 32. Campbell C. 34. Kerr A. 7. Thomson C. 5. McNab R. 6. Banner K. 11. Brown A. 17. McLean R. 29. Shanley R.	21. Hepburn C. (G) 23. McGregor J. 20. Breen R. 4. Hamilton J. 19. Young S. 8. Balde J. 6. Leitch J. (C) 24. Williamson B. 10. Robertson J. 9. Elliott C. 7. Mcluckie B.
Substitutes
28. Cannon A. 8. Carse M. 10. Cunningham R. 31. Duffy R. (G) 9. Eadie C. 25. Hilson D. 23. Hutchinson B. 22. Wells D. 18. Welsh H.	16. Dobbie L. 2. Ferguson D. 12. Foster K. 27. Lyon J. 22. McLean R. 1. Owens F. (G) 25. Spence L. 11. Young C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Kerr A. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Robertson J. ⚽, Mcluckie B. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Balde J. ⚽, Williamson B. (A),
44', McLean R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Thomson C. ↓, Wells D. ↑,
46', Campbell C. ↓, Carse M. ↑,
50', Breen R. 🟨,
58', Shanley R. 🟨,
60', Williamson B. 🟨,
62', Williamson B. ↓, Spence L. ↑,
66', Brown A. ↓, Hilson D. ↑,
69', Balde J. 🟨,
73', Wells D. ↓, Cunningham R. ↑,
78', Balde J. ↓, Young C. ↑,
80', McNab R. ↓, Eadie C. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Eadie C. ⚽,
89', Hepburn C. 🟨,

Preview

Stirling is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

East Kilbride's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

East Kilbride may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, East Kilbride is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stirling won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Stirling won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Stirling: 4.86%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Stirling	9	2	2	5	11:22	-11	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stirling Albion
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	Stirling Albion - Stenhousemuir	1:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
10.01.26	Edinburgh City - Stirling Albion	1:4 ✺
27.12.25	Dumbarton - Stirling Albion	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Clyde - Stirling Albion	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Stirling Albion - Spartans	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 LWWWT
- East Kilbride FC
Scottish League Two
27.12.25	East Kilbride - Clyde	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	East Kilbride - Annan Athletic	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Dumbarton - East Kilbride	2:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.12.25	East Kilbride - Stranraer	1:4 ✺
Scottish League Two
06.12.25	Forfar Athletic - East Kilbride	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
08.11.25	East Kilbride - Stirling Albion	2:0
23.08.25	Stirling Albion - East Kilbride	2:3
Scottish Challenge Cup
15.08.23	Stirling Albion - East Kilbride	0:3

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