Match Info

K League 2 - Round 26

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Ansan WA Stadium (Ansan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Ansan Greeners		Hwaseong

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.80	1.65	Watch
	4.40	3.70	1.60
	4.60	3.65	1.58
	5.23	3.94	1.68
	5.13	4.18	1.59	Watch
	5.15	3.80	1.65
	4.46	3.91	1.70	Watch
	4.60	3.75	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↓ (5.03)	3.84 ↓ (4.09)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ansan Greeners
19.5%

Draw
24%

Hwaseong
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

22.5%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

21.9%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ansan Greeners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Hwaseong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ansan Greeners than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Ansan Greeners - Hwaseong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee Seung-Bin (G) 55. Lee Hyo-jun 25. Cho Ji-Hun 5. Yeon Eung-bin 3. Kang Dong-Hyun 6. Park Kyu-Min 28. Kim Jung-Hyun 2. Jang Hyun-Soo (C) 77. Marlon 10. Gabriel Lima 92. Kim In-Sung	1. Kim S. (G) 15. Vojnovic A. 97. Lee Rae-Jun 2. Lim C. 22. Kim D. 8. Jeon S. 92. Lee Jong-Sung (C) 17. Park Kyung-Min 11. Pllana L. 7. Jegal Jae-Min 14. Kim Byung-Oh
Substitutes
42. Choi Dan 9. Chol M. 44. Hartzell T. 26. Im Ji-min 8. Jeong Hyun-woo 22. Jin H. 21. Kim D. (G) 29. Kim J. 17. Ryu Seung-Wan	16. Choi Myung-Hee 24. Choi Ye-Hoon 44. Ham Sun-Woo 90. Ilyuchenko S. 66. Jeong Y. 79. Lim Byeong-hun 38. Park E. (G) 9. Petrov S. 5. Yang Si-Hoo
Coaches
Choi Moon-Sik	Cha Du-Ri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Park Kyung-Min ↓, Choi Ye-Hoon ↑,
62', Kang Dong-Hyun ↓, Hartzell T. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Pllana L. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Lee Jong-Sung ↓, Yang Si-Hoo ↑,
67', Kim Byung-Oh ↓, Ilyuchenko S. ↑,
69', Marlon ↓, Chol M. ↑,
79', Jegal Jae-Min ↓, Petrov S. ↑,
83', Gabriel Lima 🟨,
90', Cho Ji-Hun ↓, Jin H. ↑,
90+4', Ilyuchenko S. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 2, Ilyuchenko S. ⚽, Pllana L. (A),
90+9', Vojnovic A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ansan Greeners won 1.

Ansan Greeners has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hwaseong has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hwaseong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hwaseong is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ansan Greeners won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ansan Greeners won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hwaseong	26	12	8	6	41:27	14	44
15	Ansan Greeners	26	6	4	16	27:49	-22	22

Last Results with these Odds

Ansan Greeners - the odds 5.03 are the expected chance of winning is 18.27%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ansan Greeners FC
South Korean K-League 2
05.09.26	Busan I Park - Ansan Greeners	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Ansan Greeners - Daegu	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Ansan Greeners - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Seoul E-Land - Ansan Greeners	3:1 ✺
07.08.26	Chungnam Asan - Ansan Greeners	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLLLT
- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
05.09.26	Cheonan City - Hwaseong	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Hwaseong - Cheongju	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Hwaseong	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Busan I Park - Hwaseong	0:0 ✺
07.08.26	Hwaseong - Seoul E-Land	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
03.05.26	Hwaseong - Ansan Greeners	2:0
30.08.25	Ansan Greeners - Hwaseong	0:1
15.06.25	Hwaseong - Ansan Greeners	0:0
29.03.25	Ansan Greeners - Hwaseong	3:3
South Korean Cup
29.03.23	Hwaseong - Ansan Greeners	2:3
27.03.19	Hwaseong - Ansan Greeners	3:2

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