Match Info

K League 2 - Round 22

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Busan I Park		Hwaseong

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.20	2.65
	2.3	3.25	2.8
	2.45	3.5	2.91
	2.37	3.49	2.81	Watch
	2.4	3.35	2.85
	2.33	3.3	2.97	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.03)	3.32 ↓ (3.47)	2.83 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
39.6%

Draw
27.8%

Hwaseong
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

26.5%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

27.2%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Busan I Park's form might have worsened.

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Busan I Park, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hwaseong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Busan I Park - Hwaseong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 66. Kim Se-Hoon 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 20. Kim Hee-Seung 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 80. Gutemberg 7. Xavier 8. Kim Min-Hyeok 47. Son Hwi 99. Cristian Renato 18. Baek Ga-On	1. Kim S. (G) 20. Park Jun-seo 15. Vojnovic A. 4. Jang Min-jun 22. Kim D. 13. Park Jae-Seong 6. Kim Jung-Min (C) 17. Park Kyung-Min 11. Pllana L. 14. Kim Byung-Oh 7. Jegal Jae-Min
Substitutes
11. Ahn Hyun-Beom 3. Cho Dong-Jae 9. Kim Chan 21. Kim Dong-Wook 13. Kim Hyun-Min 4. Kim J. 6. Lee Dong-Su 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 97. Son J.	16. Choi Myung-Hee 24. Choi Ye-Hoon 44. Ham Sun-Woo 90. Ilyuchenko S. 8. Jeon S. 21. Kim Tae-Joon (G) 97. Lee Rae-Jun 2. Lim C. 9. Petrov S.
Coaches
Cho S.	Cha Du-Ri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Jegal Jae-Min 🟨,
41', Son Hwi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gutemberg ↓, Ahn Hyun-Beom ↑,
57', Kim Se-Hoon ↓, Kim Chan ↑,
58', Kim Byung-Oh ↓, Petrov S. ↑,
58', Son Hwi ↓, Kim Chan ↑,
58', Kim Chan 🟨,
68', Park Kyung-Min ↓, Lim C. ↑,
68', Jegal Jae-Min ↓, Ilyuchenko S. ↑,
74', Kim Chan ↓, Son J. ↑,
76', Kim Jung-Min ↓, Jeon S. ↑,
90+1', Kim Min-Hyeok ↓, Kim J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: )).

Busan I Park has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hwaseong is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan I Park won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hwaseong	26	12	8	6	41:27	14	44
6	Busan	26	12	5	9	41:34	7	41

Last Results with these Odds

Busan I Park - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.39%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
07.08.26	Yongin - Busan I Park	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Busan I Park - Seoul E-Land	1:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Busan I Park - FC Seoul	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
25.07.26	Busan I Park - Suwon Bluewings	1:4 ✺
18.07.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL
- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
07.08.26	Hwaseong - Seoul E-Land	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Hwaseong - Daegu	5:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Jeju - Hwaseong	4:3 penalties ✺
South Korean K-League 2
25.07.26	Hwaseong - Chungnam Asan	3:2 ✺
19.07.26	Yongin - Hwaseong	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
17.05.26	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	3:2
28.09.25	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	1:1
19.07.25	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	1:0
27.04.25	Busan I Park - Hwaseong	3:2
South Korean Cup
01.07.20	Busan I Park - Hwaseong	4:0

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