Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Maulí (Antequera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Antequera		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.2
	2.15	3.15	3.35
	2.21	2.96	3.54
	2.16	2.97	3.46	Watch
	2.17	3.04	3.42
	2.15	3.15	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.42)	3.05 (3.05)	3.35 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
42.6%

Draw
30%

Mérida AD
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.8%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

30%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mérida AD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antequera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mérida AD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Antequera - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lario J. (G) 2. Maffeo V. 4. Perez I. 22. Ortega I. 3. Carrion J. 19. Fernandez X. 20. Aspra J. 10. Nunez C. 7. Luismi Gutierrez 9. Ribeiro 11. Siddiki O.	1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 4. Bonaque M. 3. Sergi 10. Juanjo 21. Beneit R. 11. Doncel C. 23. Busi 14. Beltran L. 16. Garcia P.
Substitutes
30. Alcover D. (G) 18. Belza J. 21. Biabiany J. 16. Elejalde I. 12. Fomeyem F. 23. Luengo Herrera L. M. 5. Marcelo A. 15. Moreno A. 17. Obounet M. 14. Rubio A. 6. Toni Arranz 29. Topo	7. Alvaro J. 12. Beer J. 28. del Cerro S. 8. Eslava J. 18. Falcon E. 26. Macia I. (G) 6. Miki 15. Prevedini M. 13. Vicente D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Siddiki O. ↓, Biabiany J. ↑,
26', Maffeo V. 🟨,
45', Bonaque M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Juanjo ↓, del Cerro S. ↑,
46', Garcia P. ↓, Eslava J. ↑,
48', Juanpa 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Ribeiro ⚽,
59', 🟨,
62', Beneit R. ↓, Prevedini M. ↑,
71', 🟨,
71', Maffeo V. ↓, Fomeyem F. ↑,
71', Carrion J. ↓, Luengo Herrera L. M. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Beltran L. ⚽,
80', Aspra J. ↓, Elejalde I. ↑,
80', Ribeiro ↓, Marcelo A. ↑,
81', 🟨,
81', Luengo Herrera L. M. 🟨,
83', 🟨,
89', Busi ↓, Miki ↑,
89', Beltran L. ↓, Beer J. ↑,
89', 🟥,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Antequera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Antequera won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Antequera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.10.24	Hércules - Antequera	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Antequera - Intercity	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Sevilla B - Antequera	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Antequera - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Atlético Madrid B - Antequera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTWW
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.10.24	Mérida AD - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Marbella - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Mérida AD - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Real Murcia - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	Mérida AD - Algeciras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.02.24	Antequera - Mérida AD	2:2
07.10.23	Mérida AD - Antequera	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.04.22	Mérida AD - Antequera	1:1
14.11.21	Antequera - Mérida AD	0:2

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