Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Romano (Mérida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Mérida AD		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.88	3.1
	2.25	2.87	3
	2.34	2.95	3.15
	2.36	2.94	3.19
	2.33	2.92	3.16	Watch
	2.3	3.04	3.14
	2.34	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.13)	2.94 ↓ (3.05)	3.13 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
39.5%

Draw
31.2%

Villarreal B
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.1%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-3%)

Mérida AD - Villarreal B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juanpa (G) 20. Wehbe Gonzalez C. A. 19. Pipe 4. Bonaque M. 3. Sergi 21. Beneit R. 10. Juanjo 11. Doncel C. 23. Busi 14. Beltran L. 16. Garcia P.	1. Alvarez I. (G) 15. Joseda 4. Espigares A. 27. Valou J. 3. Romero C. 5. Sola A. 20. Ojeda T. 8. Rodri 10. Geralnik T. 7. Moreno V. 14. Etta Eyong
Substitutes
12. Beer J. 28. del Cerro S. 8. Eslava J. 17. Ganet P. 26. Macia I. (G) 15. Prevedini M. 27. Tiago Leal 13. Vicente D. (G)	17. Blanco F. 18. Cabanes P. 24. Ekerette U. 2. Navarro P. 23. Ortega J. 6. Perez H. 25. Quevedo A. (G) 19. Quintero L. 16. Val B. 22. Viveros F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Garcia P. ⚽,
19', Rodri 🟨,
23', 🟨,
32', Wehbe Gonzalez C. A. ↓, Prevedini M. ↑,
34', Doncel C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rodri ↓, Val B. ↑,
46', Ojeda T. ↓, Cabanes P. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Geralnik T. (Pen),
54', Pipe 🟨,
66', Moreno V. ↓, Navarro P. ↑,
66', Joseda ↓, Viveros F. ↑,
66', Beneit R. ↓, del Cerro S. ↑,
66', Garcia P. ↓, Eslava J. ↑,
77', Busi 🟨,
83', Busi ↓, Beer J. ↑,
83', Doncel C. ↓, Ganet P. ↑,
85', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Mérida AD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mérida AD will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.09.24	Marbella - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Mérida AD - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Real Murcia - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	Mérida AD - Algeciras	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Mérida AD	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLWW
- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.09.24	Algeciras - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Villarreal B - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Antequera - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Villarreal B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Villarreal B - Betis B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLTT

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