Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 28

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Maulí (Antequera)


	Antequera		Mancha Real

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	5.5
	1.42	3.85	6.75
	1.52	3.97	6.01
	1.46	3.8	7.3
	1.48	3.85	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.37)	3.85 ↑ (3.8)	6.35 ↓ (8.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
61.9%

Draw
23.7%

Mancha Real
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

23.8%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

22.8%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Mancha Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antequera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Antequera - Mancha Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Antequera is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mancha Real is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Antequera is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Antequera won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Antequera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.03.23	Juventud de Torremolinos - Antequera	0:2 ✺
19.03.23	Antequera - Vélez	4:0 ✺
12.03.23	Xerez Deportivo - Antequera	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Antequera - Sevilla B	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Recreativo Huelva - Antequera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTLW
- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.03.23	Mancha Real - Cadiz CF B	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Mancha Real	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Mancha Real - Betis B	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	San Roque de Lepe - Mancha Real	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Mancha Real - Yeclano Deportivo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.11.22	Mancha Real - Antequera	1:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.05.21	Mancha Real - Antequera	1:0
06.10.19	Antequera - Mancha Real	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.04.18	Antequera - Mancha Real	0:0
12.11.17	Mancha Real - Antequera	0:2

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