Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 24

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	San Roque de Lepe		Mancha Real

	1	X	2
	1.82	3	4.2
	1.75	2.9	5.4
	1.8	3.02	5.26
	1.77	3.2	4.8
	1.83	3.05	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.67)	3.03 ↑ (3)	4.81 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Roque de Lepe
50.9%

Draw
30.1%

Mancha Real
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

30.3%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

28.8%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Roque de Lepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Mancha Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Roque de Lepe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

San Roque de Lepe - Mancha Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

San Roque de Lepe is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mancha Real has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mancha Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match San Roque de Lepe is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's San Roque de Lepe to win the game is with odds 1.82.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Roque de Lepe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.02.23	Juventud de Torremolinos - San Roque de Lepe	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	San Roque de Lepe - Vélez	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Xerez Deportivo - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	San Roque de Lepe - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Recreativo Huelva - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWTWT
- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.02.23	Mancha Real - Yeclano Deportivo	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	UCAM Murcia - Mancha Real	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Utrera - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Mancha Real - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:4 ✺
29.01.23	Vélez - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.10.22	Mancha Real - San Roque de Lepe	1:0

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