Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Maulí (Antequera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Antequera		Marbella

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3
	2.38	3	2.92
	2.44	3.05	3.17
	2.38	3.13	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.96)	3.05 ↓ (3.25)	3.01 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
39%

Draw
30.3%

Marbella
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.2%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Antequera's form might have worsened.

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marbella's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antequera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marbella, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Antequera - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Alcover D. (G) 2. Anton J. 20. Aspra J. 4. Barbu 5. Luna A. 25. Nico Njalla 6. Ramos D. 16. Gene A. 22. Quintana A. 7. Biabiany J. 21. Chit O.	13. Vassilev D. (G) 24. Vanheusden Z. 15. Gabri 23. Escassi A. 3. Martinez A. 7. Awudu T. 6. Lopez A. 10. Luis Alcalde 5. Acosta L. 19. Ohemeng E. 9. Rodri
Substitutes
12. Ajouaou V. 18. Bassele M. 23. Diz Acena R. 10. Luismi Gutierrez 1. Perez S. (G) 15. Raul Gimenez 24. Rivas L. 14. Sanchez E. 11. Siddiki O.	17. Alexiel 14. Cambra J. 18. Du Yuezheng 8. Eugeni 12. Fattore V. 25. Munoz L. 26. Navarro C. 21. Palacin P. 4. Punal A. 16. Ruiz A. 22. Toper

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Nico Njalla ⚽,
27', Vanheusden Z. 🟨,
29', Escassi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gabri 🟨,
46', Biabiany J. ↓, Luismi Gutierrez ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Chit O. ⚽,
63', Anton J. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Luis Alcalde ⚽,
70', Awudu T. 🟨,
81', Nico Njalla 🟨,
86', 3 - 1, Bassele M. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Antequera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Antequera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Antequera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.10.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Antequera	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Antequera - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Antequera	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ibiza - Antequera	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Antequera - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTTTL
- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.10.25	Marbella - Eldense	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	CE Europa - Marbella	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Marbella - Betis B	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tarazona - Marbella	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Marbella - Ibiza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.05.25	Marbella - Antequera	2:0
16.10.24	Antequera - Marbella	3:1

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