Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Marbella		Eldense

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.52	3	2.78
	2.54	3.1	2.96
	1.36	4.43	8.81	Watch
	2.56	2.95	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.48)	3.3 ↑ (3.04)	4.03 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
44.3%

Draw
30.6%

Eldense
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marbella's performance.

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eldense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marbella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eldense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Marbella - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Marbella will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Marbella (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vassilev D. (G) 14. Olguin M. 24. Vanheusden Z. 15. Gabri 3. Martinez A. 21. Palacin P. 16. Ruiz A. 10. Luis Alcalde 6. Lopez A. 19. Ohemeng E. 9. Rodri (C)	1. Vila R. (G) 2. Serradell A. G. 3. Smand F. 5. Gaixas A. 17. Clemente J. (C) 8. Bustillo M. 18. Macho G. 23. Vallejo J. 7. Quintana Nacho 10. Fidel 9. Dioni
Substitutes
5. Acosta L. 17. Alexiel 7. Awudu T. 18. Du Yuezheng 23. Escassi A. 8. Eugeni 25. Munoz L. 26. Navarro C. 4. Punal A. 22. Toper	11. Bellari H. 15. Billups B. 4. Dumic D. 19. Ibarrondo A. 26. Jimenez C. 12. Molina M. 22. Nunez R. 46. Quintanilla R. 21. Ruiz D. 13. Valencia P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Lopez A. 🟨,
31', Vanheusden Z. 🟨,
33', Olguin M. 🟨,
33', Bustillo M. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Rodri (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Olguin M. ↓, Punal A. ↑,
46', Vallejo J. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
59', Dioni ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
59', Clemente J. ↓, Ibarrondo A. ↑,
60', Ruiz A. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
60', Vanheusden Z. ↓, Escassi A. ↑,
68', Macho G. ↓, Molina M. ↑,
69', Acosta L. 🟨,
76', Ohemeng E. ↓, Toper ↑,
78', Gaixas A. ↓, Bellari H. ↑,
81', Lopez A. ↓, Munoz L. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.10.25	CE Europa - Marbella	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Marbella - Betis B	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tarazona - Marbella	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Marbella - Ibiza	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Algeciras - Marbella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTTT
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.10.25	Eldense - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:3 ✺
27.09.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Eldense	3:0 ✺
21.09.25	Eldense - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Teruel - Eldense	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Eldense - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWTW

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