The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Sanluqueño 42.5%
Draw 30.2%
Antequera 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
28.5%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
28.2%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Sanluqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antequera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (+5%)
Atlético Sanluqueño - Antequera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kudakovskiy P. (G) 2. Sola Villalba R. 5. Trapero 4. Castellano A. 3. Cabrera J. 21. Satoca D. 16. Tounkara N. 17. Rodri 10. Feria J. 9. Zequi 19. Juarez A.
13. Alcover D. (G) 2. Anton J. 19. Rodriguez I. 15. Raul Gimenez 20. Aspra J. 6. Ramos D. 22. Quintana A. 25. Nico Njalla 10. Luismi Gutierrez 16. Gene A. 21. Chit O.
Substitutes
20. Arruabarrena J. 30. Barea P. 22. Carneil H. 18. Diallo B. 13. Dominguez R. (G) 8. Gallastegui J. 27. Gonzalez I. 7. Kikin 26. Morales L. 28. Moreno F. 12. Rodriguez S.
12. Ajouaou V. 4. Barbu 18. Bassele M. 7. Biabiany J. 23. Diz Acena R. 17. Gonzalez I. 5. Luna A. 1. Perez S. (G) 14. Sanchez E. 11. Siddiki O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
39', Quintana A. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Luismi Gutierrez ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Feria J. ↓, Carneil H. ↑,
46', Raul Gimenez ↓, Barbu ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Gene A. ⚽,
54', 0 - 3, Anton J. ⚽,
59', Aspra J. 🟨,
66', Tounkara N. 🟨,
68', Nico Njalla ↓, Bassele M. ↑,
70', Bassele M. 🟨,
76', Chit O. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
76', Gene A. ↓, Siddiki O. ↑,
83', Zequi ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
83', Satoca D. ↓, Arruabarrena J. ↑,
88', Luismi Gutierrez ↓, Biabiany J. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 2.
Sanluqueño is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Antequera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Antequera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sanluqueño might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sanluqueño won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2.7:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Sanluqueño - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.89%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.