Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 12

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Maulí (Antequera)


	Antequera		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.7	2.65
	2.75	2.8	2.63
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.67	2.88	2.8
	2.6	2.92	2.73
	2.65	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (1.82)	2.83 ↓ (3.4)	2.7 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
34.3%

Draw
32.1%

UCAM Murcia
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.7%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

26.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Antequera's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antequera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Antequera - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Antequera will win (votes: 3 - 60%). UCAM Murcia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.11.22	Mancha Real - Antequera	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Antequera - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Vélez - Antequera	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Antequera - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Sevilla B - Antequera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLTW
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.11.22	UCAM Murcia - Cadiz CF B	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Atlético Sanluqueño - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	UCAM Murcia - Betis B	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	San Roque de Lepe - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	UCAM Murcia - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWT

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