Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	San Roque de Lepe		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.8	2.2
	3.4	2.95	2.25
	3.51	2.81	2.29
	3.51	2.79	2.3
	3.32	2.86	2.22
	3.35	2.85	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.13)	2.84 ↓ (3.02)	2.25 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Roque de Lepe
27.1%

Draw
32.2%

UCAM Murcia
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

30.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

29.2%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Roque de Lepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

San Roque de Lepe - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Roque de Lepe won 0.

San Roque de Lepe is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

UCAM Murcia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UCAM Murcia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches San Roque de Lepe won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams San Roque de Lepe won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.12.23	Vélez - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Sevilla B	1:2 ✺
18.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Marbella	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
08.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWLL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.12.23	UCAM Murcia - Racing Cartagena MM	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Linense - UCAM Murcia	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	UCAM Murcia - Cadiz CF B	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Estepona - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	UCAM Murcia - Manchego	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.03.23	UCAM Murcia - San Roque de Lepe	1:1
23.10.22	San Roque de Lepe - UCAM Murcia	1:2
23.04.16	San Roque de Lepe - UCAM Murcia	0:0
06.12.15	UCAM Murcia - San Roque de Lepe	2:2
01.05.15	San Roque de Lepe - UCAM Murcia	0:0
14.12.14	UCAM Murcia - San Roque de Lepe	2:2
28.04.13	UCAM Murcia - San Roque de Lepe	2:0

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