Match Info

GUATEMALA: Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pensativo (Antigua Guatemala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports


	Antigua GFC		Deportivo Zacapa

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.75	7
	1.53	3.78	5.89
	1.35	4.56	7.93	Watch
	1.32	4.65	8.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.55)	4.44 ↑ (4)	7.22 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antigua GFC
66.6%

Draw
20.7%

Deportivo Zacapa
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

22.8%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

21.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Antigua GFC's performance.

Deportivo Zacapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Zacapa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antigua GFC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Zacapa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Antigua GFC - Deportivo Zacapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moran L. (G) 30. de L. B. 15. Diaz A. 19. Espinoza J. 77. Flores Barrios R. D. 5. Galvez J. 14. Gomez S. 2. Grijalva K. 8. Hernandez C. 21. Robinson A. 99. Romario	18. Flores E. (G) 6. Aguero J. 76. Buenafe M. 21. Garcia K. 5. Macal E. 7. Martinez L. 4. Medina J. 12. Milla J. 10. Pizarro T. 16. Reyes D. 9. Tinoco G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Gomez S. ⚽,
28', Reyes D. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Garcia K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Galvez J. ↓, Prillwitz H. ↑,
46', Reyes D. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
46', Pizarro T. ↓, Castaneda B. ↑,
51', Gomez S. ↓, Avila Jr M. ↑,
51', Hernandez C. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
56', Garcia E. 🟥,
56', Buenafe M. ↓, Aldana B. ↑,
60', Milla J. ↓, Marroquin D. ↑,
60', Tinoco G. ↓, Ordonez B. ↑,
67', Diaz A. ↓, Lang D. ↑,
78', Aldana B. 🟨,
82', 3 - 0, Romario ⚽,
86', Sagastume S. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Deportivo Zacapa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Antigua is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Antigua won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Antigua won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antigua GFC
CONCACAF Central American Cup
29.08.24	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.08.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Antigua GFC	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	3:3 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
13.08.24	Antigua GFC - Independiente de la Chorrera	2:1 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
10.08.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTWW
- Deportivo Zacapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.08.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Cobán Imperial	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Zacapa	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Deportivo Xinabajul	0:2 ✺
04.08.24	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Zacapa	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Xelajú	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
03.03.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Antigua GFC	0:1
03.02.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Zacapa	1:0
26.09.23	Deportivo Zacapa - Antigua GFC	3:1
19.08.23	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Zacapa	1:0

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