Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 29

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Antoniano		Águilas

	1	X	2
	4.05	2.88	1.95
	4.36	2.82	2.05
	4.28	2.8	2.01
	4	2.63	2
	3.94	3.11	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.29)	2.85 ↑ (2.78)	2.01 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antoniano
22.2%

Draw
32.2%

Águilas
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

32.9%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

32.7%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antoniano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Antoniano's form might have worsened.

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antoniano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Antoniano - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Ruiz J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent performances by Antoniano have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Águilas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Águilas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antoniano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Antoniano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Antoniano	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Last Results with these Odds

Antoniano - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 27.83%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Águilas - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.28%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Antoniano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.03.26	Minera - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Antoniano - Almeria B	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Melilla - Antoniano	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Antoniano - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Lorca Deportiva - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTTL
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.03.26	Águilas - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	CD Extremadura - Águilas	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Águilas - Puente Genil	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Real Jaén - Águilas	3:1 ✺
25.02.26	Águilas - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.10.25	Águilas - Antoniano	1:0
04.05.25	Águilas - Antoniano	0:2
21.12.24	Antoniano - Águilas	0:0
07.04.24	Antoniano - Águilas	3:2
26.11.23	Águilas - Antoniano	3:1

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