Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco (Lorca)


	Lorca Deportiva		Antoniano

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.98	3.5
	2.19	2.94	3.46
	1.98	3.1	3.86	Watch
	2	2.8	3.8
	1.97	2.97	3.93
	2.12	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.97)	2.97 ↓ (3.08)	3.68 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
44.4%

Draw
30.8%

Antoniano
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

29.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

28.7%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Antoniano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Lorca Deportiva - Antoniano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, Garcia D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).

Lorca Deportiva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Antoniano is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Antoniano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lorca Deportiva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lorca Deportiva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Antoniano	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.02.26	Malaga B - Lorca Deportiva	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	La Unión - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Lorca Deportiva - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWTL
- CA Antoniano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.02.26	CD Extremadura - Antoniano	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Antoniano - Estepona	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Puente Genil - Antoniano	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Antoniano - Xerez CD	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	La Unión - Antoniano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.12.25	Antoniano - Lorca Deportiva	3:1

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