Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Television Melilla


	Melilla		Antoniano

	1	X	2
	1.88	3	3.9
	1.85	3.05	4.15
	1.81	3.05	3.7
	1.91	2.8	4.84	Watch
	1.88	3.24	4.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.84)	3.03 ↓ (3.08)	4.19 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
48.5%

Draw
29.9%

Antoniano
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

29.9%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

24.9%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Antoniano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Melilla - Antoniano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Lorenzo O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Rodriguez D. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Melilla is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Antoniano is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Melilla is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Melilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Antoniano	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.26	UCAM Murcia - Melilla	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Melilla - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Melilla - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Xerez CD - Melilla	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Melilla - La Unión	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLT
- CA Antoniano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.26	Antoniano - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Lorca Deportiva - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	CD Extremadura - Antoniano	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Antoniano - Estepona	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Puente Genil - Antoniano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.10.25	Antoniano - Melilla	3:2

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