Match Info

BRAZIL: Goiano - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Jonas Duarte (Anápolis)

Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)


	Anápolis		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	3.3	2.95	2.28
				Watch
	3.3	2.8	2.25
	3.44	2.88	2.25
	3.3	2.95	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (4.18)	2.91 ↓ (3.23)	2.24 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anápolis
27.8%

Draw
31.4%

Atlético Goianiense
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

28.6%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

28.3%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anápolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Anápolis's performance.

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Goianiense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anápolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Goianiense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Anápolis - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Henrique (G) 14. Andre 10. Ariel 6. Caxambu 2. Fabio 29. Igor Cassio 3. Igor Souza 5. Joao Afonso (C) 21. Kadu 7. Matheus Lagoa 28. Samuel	1. Anderson (G) 3. Alix Vinicius 9. Caio Dantas 6. Guilherme Romao 7. Marcelinho 4. Pedro Henrique (C) 2. Rai Ramos 8. Rhaldney 10. Shaylon 5. Willian Maranhao 11. Willian Pottker
Substitutes
31. Caio Monteiro (G) 16. Cazzetta 11. Erick 9. Joao Celeri 17. Johnatan Cardoso 19. Marcao 13. Paulo Motta 15. Pedro Thomaz 18. Pepe 32. Rafael Mineiro 33. Renan Cocao 22. Rubinho 8. Vini Locatelli	18. Araos A. 19. Cruz A. 22. da Silva Ramos R. N. 17. Kauan 15. Kevyn 16. Leo Naldi 14. Luizao 13. Marcinho 21. Martinez F. 20. Sandro Lima 12. Vladimir (G)
Coaches
Luiz A.	Gomes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Ariel ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Willian Pottker ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, Pedro Henrique ⚽,
35', Guilherme Romao 🟨,
36', Fabio 🟨,
37', Igor Cassio 🟨,
42', Marcelinho 🟨,
45+5', Joao Afonso 🟨,
45+6', Willian Pottker 🟨,
45+7', Ariel 🟨,
45+7', Caio Dantas 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Matheus Lagoa ↓, Rubinho ↑,
46', Igor Souza ↓, Renan Cocao ↑,
46', Willian Pottker ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Igor Cassio (Pen),
62', 3 - 2, Fabio ⚽,
70', Igor Cassio ↓, Marcao ↑,
70', Samuel ↓, Pedro Thomaz ↑,
74', Willian Maranhao ↓, Sandro Lima ↑,
74', Kadu ↓, Pepe ↑,
81', Caio Dantas ↓, da Silva Ramos R. N. ↑,
81', Shaylon ↓, Kauan ↑,
85', Marcelinho ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
90+3', Paulo Henrique 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Anápolis won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Atlético GO could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlético GO will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Anápolis won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13:26 (average 0.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Anápolis won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
08.03.25	Atlético Goianiense - Anápolis	2:2 ✺
05.03.25	Anápolis - ABECAT Ouvidorense	3:2 penalties ✺
01.03.25	ABECAT Ouvidorense - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Anápolis - Goianésia	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Atlético Goianiense - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWTWL
- Atlético Goianiense
Copa do Brasil
12.03.25	Atlético Goianiense - Retrô Brasil	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
08.03.25	Atlético Goianiense - Anápolis	2:2 ✺
04.03.25	Atlético Goianiense - Inhumas	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Inhumas - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Aparecidense - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
08.03.25	Atlético Goianiense - Anápolis	2:2
16.02.25	Atlético Goianiense - Anápolis	1:0
01.02.24	Atlético Goianiense - Anápolis	2:1
25.01.23	Atlético Goianiense - Anápolis	1:2
12.04.21	Anápolis - Atlético Goianiense	0:3
07.03.21	Anápolis - Atlético Goianiense	0:2
10.02.21	Atlético Goianiense - Anápolis	5:1

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