The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortaleza 45.2%
Draw 28.1%
Atlético Goianiense 26.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.4%
27.1%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
26.2%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza's form might have worsened.
Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
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0%
Fortaleza - Atlético Goianiense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final) and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2.
Fortaleza has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Performances by Atlético GO have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Fortaleza carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:13 (averaging 0.7:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fortaleza against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Fortaleza
35
16
13
6
43:31
12
61
8
Atletico GO
35
14
12
9
42:33
9
54
Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now
Fortaleza: 7.9%
Last Results with these Odds
Fortaleza - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.44%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.