Match Info

Serie D - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo (Aparecida de Goiânia)


	Aparecidense		Primavera AC

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.15	4.45
	1.75	3.15	4.6
	1.81	3.07	4.77	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.74	3.14	4.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.71)	3.14 ↓ (3.43)	4.57 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecidense
51.4%

Draw
28.8%

Primavera AC
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

26.6%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

28.1%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Primavera AC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Primavera AC than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Aparecidense - Primavera AC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Mario Henrique ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Caique ⚽,

Preview

Aparecidense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Primavera is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Aparecidense is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aparecidense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.26	Luverdense - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Inhumas - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Aparecidense - Brasiliense	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Brasiliense - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Aparecidense - Inhumas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWTW
- Primavera AC
Brazilian Serie D
23.05.26	Gama - Primavera AC	4:0 ✺
17.05.26	Primavera AC - Luverdense	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Inhumas - Primavera AC	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Primavera AC - Inhumas	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
29.04.26	Primavera AC - Rio Branco AC ES	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
12.04.26	Primavera AC - Aparecidense	1:3

Aparecidense - Primavera AC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide