Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadiumi Loni Papuciu (Fier)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Apolonia Fier		Laçi

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.72	2.42
	3.09	2.58	2.46
	3.11	2.62	2.53	Watch
	3.1	2.63	2.45
	2.85	3.1	2.46	Watch
	3.1	2.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.36)	2.69 ↓ (2.98)	2.46 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apolonia Fier
29.8%

Draw
33.5%

Laçi
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

30.4%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

31.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apolonia Fier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Apolonia Fier's form might have worsened.

Laçi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laçi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Apolonia Fier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laçi than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Laçi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Apolonia Fier - Laçi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Traore A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Kalaj S. ⚽,
90+1', Anane V. 🟥,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore).

Apolonia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Laçi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Apolonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apolonia Fier
Albanian First Division
13.12.25	Apolonia Fier - Korabi Peshkopi	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Kastrioti - Apolonia Fier	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Apolonia Fier - Besa Kavajë	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Apolonia Fier	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Apolonia Fier - Kukësi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWW
- KF Laçi
Albanian First Division
13.12.25	Laçi - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Korabi Peshkopi - Laçi	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Laçi - Pogradeci	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Kastrioti - Laçi	2:2 ✺
Albanian Cup
18.11.25	Laçi - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
03.10.25	Laçi - Apolonia Fier	1:1
Albanian Super League
16.01.21	Apolonia Fier - Laçi	1:0
22.05.15	Apolonia Fier - Laçi	1:4
16.03.15	Laçi - Apolonia Fier	2:0
20.12.14	Apolonia Fier - Laçi	0:2

Apolonia Fier - Laçi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide