Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Kastrioti		Apolonia Fier

	1	X	2
	2.24	3.13	3.00	Watch
	2.16	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.07)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)	3.13 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kastrioti
41.5%

Draw
29.3%

Apolonia Fier
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

24.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kastrioti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Apolonia Fier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (+3%)

Kastrioti - Apolonia Fier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 2.

Kastrioti has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Apolonia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kastrioti could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kastrioti won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kastrioti	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kastrioti
Albanian First Division
14.02.26	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Kastrioti	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Kastrioti - Kukësi	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kastrioti	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Kastrioti - Pogradeci	2:4 ✺
17.01.26	Iliria - Kastrioti	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW
- Apolonia Fier
Albanian First Division
14.02.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Apolonia Fier	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Apolonia Fier - Pogradeci	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Iliria - Apolonia Fier	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Apolonia Fier - Lushnja	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Burreli - Apolonia Fier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
07.12.25	Kastrioti - Apolonia Fier	1:0
20.09.25	Apolonia Fier - Kastrioti	2:0
13.04.25	Kastrioti - Apolonia Fier	1:1
24.11.24	Kastrioti - Apolonia Fier	1:0
17.02.24	Apolonia Fier - Kastrioti	1:1
06.11.23	Kastrioti - Apolonia Fier	1:1
Albanian Super League
27.02.21	Kastrioti - Apolonia Fier	0:0

Kastrioti - Apolonia Fier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide